More on Recent Solar Flare

fr/spaceweather

X-FLARE: Earth-orbiting satellites have detected an X2-class solar flare from sunspot 1283. The explosion, which occured at 2220 UT on Sept. 6th, appears to have hurled a CME toward Earth. This is the second time today that sunspot 1283 has propelled a plasma cloud in our general direction (see also “Earth-directed Flare,” below). Stay tuned for estimates of their arrival times.

EARTH-DIRECTED FLARE: This morning at 0150 UT, sunspot 1283 produced an M5.3-class solar flare. NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the flash of extreme ultraviolet radiation:

Because of the sunspot’s central location on the solar disk, the eruption was Earth-directed–but is a CME heading our way? Around the time of the explosion, a number of plasma clouds were already billowing away from the sun, adding an element of confusion to the analysis. Tentatively, we expect Earth’s magnetic field to receive a glancing blow from a CME on Sept. 8th or 9th.

Icelandic Volcano, Katla, Showing SIgns

Iceland’s most feared Volcano; Katla, surges with upswing in activity

Published on September 6, 2011 4:25 pm PT
– By Richard McMillan – Writer
– Article Editor and Approved – Warren Miller


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(TheWeatherSpace.com) — An increase in seismic activity at Iceland’s Katla Volcano is stirring the world up as predictions of the past have revealed Katla follows Eyjafjallajokul, which erupted in April of 2010.

Scientists say not to worry though right now. TheWeatherSpace.com was able to speak to Pall Enarsson of the University of Iceland about the activity.

“Earthquakes are normal for Katla, but one occurring every ten minutes is not,” he said. “We are having small swarms which are not common.”

Scientists flew over Katla on Tuesday evening but could not detect the cause of the increased activity, but stressed the volcano has seen similar activity in the past.

Signs have been detected that Katla was preparing for an eruption and scientists are keeping watch.

fr/http://www.theweatherspace.com/news/TWS-09_06_2011_katla.html

Sumatran Earthquake

Very strong (deep) earthquake below Sumatra, Indonesia – 2 people killed + 100′s of houses uninhabitable

Last update: September 6, 2011 at 12:52 pm by By 

to read more, go to:   http://earthquake-report.com/2011/09/05/very-strong-earthquake-at-intermediate-depth-below-sumatra-indonesia/

 

 

New Tropical Depression—Maria

Hurricane Katia is not a problem, future Maria will be and she is right behind her

Published on September 5, 2011 11:40 am PT
– By Kevin Martin – Senior Meteorologist
– Article Editor and Approved – Warren Miller


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(TheWeatherSpace.com) — Hurricane Katia was never a problem for the Eastern United States here at TheWeatherSpace.com, however one area has been monitored for five days that might be.

Katia will move between the U.S. and Bermuda Island. Bermuda will get Tropical Storm force winds on Wednesday as the storm makes the closest approach.

A disturbance that should become the next named system; Maria, may actually become the problem in the next week.

The system is moving across the Central Atlantic right now and thunderstorms are building very quickly within it. Pressures are dropping as a result.

The system will continue to move toward the Northern Caribbean Islands and Puerto Rico by Friday and Saturday.

Because Former Tropical Storm Lee is now a deep trough in the Eastern U.S., the eastward flow will push the ridge in the Atlantic southward, flattening it. This flat pattern with the jet stream riding over it will be what brings these systems more westerly.

to read more, go to:   http://www.theweatherspace.com/news/TWS-09_05_2011_futuremaria.html

Weather Altering Lasers

Laser project aims at controlling the weather and making clouds do what humans want

Published on September 4, 2011 2:30 am PT
– By Betty Johnson – Writer
– Article Editor and Approved – Warren Miller


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(TheWeatherSpace.com) — Physicist Jerome Kasparian, of the University of Geneva, admits they can control clouds by pointing a laser into the sky.

The system is called laser-assisted water condensation and could one day enable humans to decide where and when it will remain.

The powerful laser can run continuously and it can be aimed well. Scientists tell TheWeatherSpace.com that they are close to manipulating weather conditions, even prevent rainfall.

The idea of lasers is catching on across the planet. The HAARP project fires into the ionosphere and some blame it on the vast weather extremes lately. This projection to control the weather has been the human curiosity for quiet some time.

frhttp://www.theweatherspace.com/news/TWS-09_04_2011_cloudscontrolled.html/

Southern California Thunderstorm Outbreak

Thunderstorms will continue all day and through the night across Southern California

Published on September 5, 2011 8:20 am PT
– By Jim Duran – Writer
– Article Editor and Approved – Ron Jackson


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(TheWeatherSpace.com) — Thunderstorms slammed the populated areas overnight on Sunday and into Monday morning and this will continue today.

TWS’ Southern California Weather division; SCWXA, issued a Thunderstorm Watch for the region on Monday evening. A few hours after, the first thunderstorms hit Los Angeles.
(View watch box) 

TheWeatherSpace.com Senior Meteorologist Kevin Martin states the watch continues and there will be more.

“Widespread thunderstorms are occurring in the Southland,” said Martin. “Per my projections at SCWXA, will keep the Thunderstorm Watch box activated through today and tonight as the best is yet to come where we get frequent lightning anywhere from Orange County, Inland Empire, and San Diego County today and this evening.”

to read more, go to:  http://www.theweatherspace.com/news/TWS-09_05_2011_socalthunder.html

Recent Extreme Earth Events

Disasters in US: An extreme and exhausting year

September 4, 2011 By SETH BORENSTEIN , AP Science Writer

Disasters in US: An extreme and exhausting year (AP)

In this May 25, 2011 file picture, a line of severe storms crosses the Mississippi River in Memphis, Tenn., passing by the Memphis Pyramid. The dark formation was reported a few minutes earlier as a tornado in West Memphis, Ark. Nature is pummeling the United States in 2011 with extremes. There have been more than 700 U.S. disaster and weather deaths. What’s happening, say experts, is mostly random chance or the bad luck of getting the wrong roll of the dice. However, there is something more to it, many of them say. Man-made global warming is loading the dice to increase our odds of getting the bad roll.

Unprecedented triple-digit heat and devastating drought. Deadly tornadoes leveling towns. Massive rivers overflowing. A billion-dollar blizzard. And now, unusual hurricane-caused flooding in Vermont.

If what’s falling from the sky isn’t enough, the ground shook in places that normally seem stable: Colorado and the entire East Coast. On Friday, a strong quake triggered brief tsunami warnings in Alaska. Arizona and New Mexico have broken records for wildfires.

Total weather losses top $35 billion, and that’s not counting , according to the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration. There have been more than 700 U.S. disaster and weather deaths, most from the  this spring.

Last year, the world seemed to go wild with natural disasters in the deadliest year in a generation. But 2010 was bad globally, and the United States mostly was spared.

This year, while there have been devastating events elsewhere, such as the earthquake and tsunami in Japan, Australia’s flooding and a drought in Africa, it’s our turn to get smacked. Repeatedly.

“I’m hoping for a break. I’m tired of working this hard. This is ridiculous,” said Jeff Masters, a  who runs Weather Underground, a meteorology service that tracks strange and . “I’m not used to seeing all these extremes all at once in one year.”

The U.S. has had a record 10 weather catastrophes costing more than a billion dollars: five separate tornado outbreaks, two different major river floods in the Upper Midwest and the , drought in the Southwest and a blizzard that crippled the Midwest and Northeast, and Irene.

What’s happening, say experts, is mostly random chance or bad luck. But there is something more to it, many of them say. Man-made global warming is increasing the odds of getting a bad roll of the dice.

Sometimes the luck seemed downright freakish.

to read more, go to:    http://www.physorg.com/news/2011-09-disasters-extreme-exhausting-year.html

Greenland Ice Chunk Ready to Go

Giant Chunk of Greenland Ice Set to Break Away

by Andrea Mustain
Date: 02 September 2011 Time: 01:50 PM ET
greenland glacier ice berg, greenland glacier collapse, greenland ice island, ice shelf collapse, arctic ice melt, arctic melt season, sea level rise, glaciers and sea level rise, petermann glacier
August 5, 2009: This ‘before’ picture shows the disintegrating ice shelf before it floated away.
CREDIT: Jason Box, Byrd Polar Research Center, Ohio State University.

An ice shelf is poised to break off from a Greenland glacier and float out to sea as an island twice the size of Manhattan, scientists say.

“I don’t know exactly when,” Jason Box, a climatologist with Ohio State Unversity’s Byrd Polar Research Center, told OurAmazingPlanet. “I wouldn’t be surprised if it happened today — or if it happened next summer.”

Just a year ago, in August 2010, the same glacier produced an even larger iceberg — a mass of ice four times the size of Manhattan, the largest in recorded Greenland history — yet researchers warn that the next spectacular break could have more-dire consequences.

Box said it’s not clear when the 62-square-mile (160 square kilometers) ice shelf, which is dangling from Greenland’s Petermann Glacier, will detach from the mainland. “I think it’s more likely to occur during periods of melt, and that’s coming to an end, so I’m losing confidence it’s going to break this year,” Box said.

Ice shelves are enormous plates of ice that float on polar seas but are connected to the shoreline by the land-bound glaciers that feed into them.

During much of the Arctic melt season, summer sunlight pounds the Earth’s highest latitudes nearly 24 hours a day. Melting typically draws to a close in early to mid-September, when cooler temperatures and shorter days arrive.

Box said scientists first noticed a jagged crack in the glacier’s ice — a growing rift he dubbed ‘The Big Kahuna’ — in 2008. However, a subsequent search through satellite data revealed the rift first appeared about eight years earlier.

“We can see the crack widening in the past year through satellite pictures, so it seems imminent,” Box said.

Ice shelf collapse can affect sea levels.

to read more, go to:   http://www.livescience.com/15890-greenland-ice-chunk-break.html

 

 

More on Lee and Katia

Tropical Storm Lee moving ashore; Katia continues northwest
Posted by: JeffMasters, 1:53 PM GMT on September 03, 2011 +6
Tropical Storm Lee is marching steadily northwards towards landfall in Louisiana, and continues to slowly intensify. The storm’s central pressure is now down to 993 mb, as measured by an Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft at 7am CDT. However, the center of Lee is now very close to the coast, and the storm doesn’t have much time to intensify further before the center moves over land. The main impact from the storm on the coast thus far has been heavy rains. At New Orleans Lakefront Airport, 5.88″ inches of rain had fallen from Lee as of 8 am CDT this morning. Top winds were 35 mph, gusting to 55 mph. Though Lee’s top winds are rated as being 60 mph, it is difficult to find any land stations that have reported sustained winds of tropical storm force, 39 mph or greater. One station that has is at the tip of the Mississippi River Delta, where Southwest Pass measured sustained winds of 40 mph, gusting to 58 mph, at 7:03 am CDT. Upper-level winds out of the southwest are creating a moderate 10 – 20 knots of wind shear over Lee, keeping the storm’s heavy thunderstorms pushed to the east side of the storm. Latest satelllite loops show Lee is becoming increasingly organized.
Figure 1. Radar-estimated rainfall from Lee from the New Orleans radar. Lee has dumped a large region of 4 – 8 inches so far (orange colors.)


Figure 2. Predicted rainfall for the 5-day period ending at 8 am EDT Thursday Sep 8, 2011. Lee is expected to bring a large swath of 4+ inches of rain all the way to New England. Image credit: NOAA/HPC.

Forecast for Lee
Lee’s large size, ill-formed circulation center, and the presence of dry air on its west side due to an upper-level trough of low pressure make Lee look a lot like a subtropical storm on satellite imagery, with a broad center and the majority of the heavy thunderstorms in a broad band well removed from the center. Subtropical storms can undergo only relatively modest rates of intensification, and Lee is unlikely to become a hurricane. Also tending to slow intensification will be the fact that much of its circulation is over land. Damages from Lee are likely to be less than $100 – $200 million, with the greatest threats being fresh water flooding from heavy rains. Given that much of the region Lee will traverse over the next few days is under moderate to severe drought, the storm’s rains may cause more economic benefit than damage. Since Texas is on the dry side of the storm, that state will see very little rainfall from Lee, except very close to the border with Louisiana. The rains from Lee appear to have mostly ended across extreme southern Louisiana, so the feared 10 – 15 inches of rain does not look like it will materialize there. One possible concern for Lee’s rains will be the mid-Atlantic and Northeast, where recovery efforts from the devastating flooding due to Hurricane Irene may be hampered by the additional 2 – 4 inches that may fall from Lee’s remnants by the middle of the week.Tornadoes from Lee are potential hazard today, as NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center is highlighting the Northern Gulf Coast in their “slight risk” area for severe weather. A tornado watch is posted for the region, but no tornadoes have been reported as of 8 am CDT.

Lee is the 12th named storm this year, and came eight days before the half-way point of the Atlantic hurricane season. Climatologically, September 10 marks the half-way point. A typical hurricane season has just 10 – 11 named storms, so we’ve already had more than a whole season’s worth of storms before reaching the half-way point. At this rate, 2011 will see 24 – 26 named storms, making it the 2nd busiest season on record, behind 2005. Lee’s formation date of September 2 puts 2011 in 5th place for earliest date of arrival of the season’s 12th storm. Only 200519951936, and 1933 had an earlier 12th storm.

Hurricane Katia 
The latest set of model runs show very little change in the outlook for Hurricane Katia. Katia will continue its long trek across the Atlantic Ocean, and will not pose a danger to any land areas over the next five days. Katia is still struggling with dry air and wind shear that has risen to a high 20 – 25 knots. Latest satellite loops show a lopsided hurricane that is suffering from the impacts of dry air and wind shear on its southwest side.

Bermuda Triangle to Host Humpbacks

Bermuda Triangle to Become Humpback Whale Haven

Katherine Tweed, OurAmazingPlanet Contributor
Date: 02 September 2011 Time: 09:28 AM ET
humpback whales
Humpback whales feeding.
CREDIT: NOAA

The Bermuda Triangle holds an often maligned and mysterious place in ocean lore, but for endangered humpback whales, it’s about to get a little more welcoming.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) recently announced a letter of intent signed by the Bermuda Department of Environmental Protection to establish a sister sanctuary to NOAA’s Stellwagen Bank National Marine Sanctuary for the gentle giants.

The sister sanctuary would not be the first for Stellwagen Bank, located in the Gulf of Maine, and its humpback whales. Beginning in 2007, Stellwagen established the world’s first sister sanctuary with the Dominican Republic’s Santuario de Mamiferos Marinos de la República Dominicana to protect the endangered migratory marine mammal on both ends of its range.

Whale populations

There are five distinct populations of humpbacks in the North Atlantic, with Stellwagen Bank being the feeding grounds for one of the groups. The other four are off the coasts of Nova Scotia, Norway, Greenland and Iceland. Down in the Caribbean, the whales mingle during breeding season, and one of the largest congregation spots is off the coast of the Dominican Republic.

But protecting just two points in the humpbacks’ range is not enough to ensure their survival. Bermuda will protect the species in its migratory corridor, rather than the furthest reaches of its range, the first marine mammal sanctuary to offer such a waypoint.

“This is a first step in putting together conservation stepping stones throughout their migration,” said Nathalie Ward, coordinator of the Sister Sanctuary Program for Stellwagen Bank National Marine Sanctuary.

to read more, go to:  http://www.livescience.com/15881-bermuda-triandle-humpback-whale-sanctuary.html