Another Huge Quake in Nepal

New massive further damaging earthquake in the Dolakha area, Nepal – 59 dead currently

Last update: May 12, 2015 at 2:58 pm by By
Contributors: Armand Vervaeck, James Daniell, Jens-Udo Skapski

For our main NEPAL article : Click here

  Update 14:20 UTC:   41 are dead in Nepal but counting will take a number of days. 1115 injured.

Update 13:20 UTC: Good news! The death toll has reduced to 37 in Nepal.

Lalitpur 1; Sunsari 1; Sindhupalchok 5; Dolakha 19; Unknown 1; Sarlahi 1; Sindhuli 2; Rautahat 1; Ramechhap 1; Gorkha 1 – 37 deaths in Nepal.

Update 12:55 UTC: Landslides are blocking roads to Dolakha which unfortunately means that the worst of the damage is yet to be realised.

We are hopeful that more people were outside than calculated. If 85% were outside at the time near the epicenter, the expected death toll is closer to 200.

Update 12:40 UTC:  Landslides on the (Sidhartha, Koshi, Arniko) Highways are in many places. Landslides have occurred in:-
Rasuwa – Mailung
Dolakha – Singati
Dhankuta – Karkichhap
Syanja – Bhalupahad
Ramechhap – Lakhanpur

Update 12:15 UTC : 16 are reported dead in Bihar, with at least 21 injuries.

Update 12:05 UTC :
Sindhupalchok – 9 deaths; Dolakha – 19 deaths; Kathmandu – 4 deaths; Lalitpur – 1 death; Sindhuli – 2 deaths; Sunsari – 1 death; Rautahat – 1 death; Sarlahi – 1 death; Dhanusha – 1 death; Ramechhap – 3 deaths = 42 deaths in Nepal.

This follows the following distribution. We hope that given that the earthquake occurred around 1pm, that many more people were outside, and that the death toll will not reach 500.

Update 11:55 UTC :  The Indian injuries have been confirmed: 16 in Bihar, 8 in West Bengal. “Several” in UP. 25 are said to be buried under a collapsed building also in Bihar.

Update 11:25 UTC :  Injured so far: Kathmandu 357, Bhaktapur 187, Lalitpur 174 – in total 1117 injured.

There have been 12 “live rescues””, 9 in Dolakha and 3 in Kathmandu.

Update 11:15 UTC : 51 dead : 36 Nepal, 14 India and 1 in China. 1132 injuries.

Update 10:54 UTC : This earthquake is a new event, and has its own aftershock sequence. This is the sequence so far as mapped out by Andreas Schaefer, CEDIM.

A map of the aftershocks of the M7.3 mainshock earthquake of today.

Update 10:45 UTC : The time of day was again lucky for the Nepalese, with many people being outside of their houses. We hope that a lot more than 40% were out of their houses!

Update 10:45 UTC : At least 16 have died in Nepal, and 335 are reported injured so far. Chautara – 2 have at least died. 8 have died in Dolakha (this may mean that Bhaktapur was wrong information. 2 have died in Sindhuli.

Update 10:42 UTC : At least 4 people have died in Bihar, India. 4 people have died in Chautara, Sindhupalchok, and 8 in Bhaktapur. More information is expected from Dolakha soon.

Update 10:30 UTC : The likely fatalities from the CATDAT model unfortunately from this cruel triggered event seem to be around the expected 250-600 mark depending on how many people were in their houses. It should be noted that these are median estimates, and that only the distribution should be looked at. Based on historical sequences, this triggered event was quite likely. Most fatalities are expected in Dolakha and Sindhupalchok.

Likely fatality distribution from the model of Dr. James Daniell

Information is quite slow to surface due to the shock and recovery that was going on at the time of the event.

Update 10:10 UTC : Many rockfalls and landslides have occurred.

Update 09:40 UTC : This triggered earthquake has caused much damage throughout Dolakha.

Update 09:30 UTC : Much damage is expected in Dolakha. 4 have been killed in Bihar.

Update 09:20 UTC : Updated CATDAT fatality estimate using 40% occupancy: median 580 fatalities with a range from 125-2000. The economic losses have reduced to 250-1200 million with $550 million coming from additional damage. This is with removing the previous losses from the M7.8 earthquake. This does not include the potential extra landslide deaths and losses!

Update 09:15 UTC : 8 dead in Bhaktapur.

Update 09:10 UTC : Of the fatalities through the theoretical model, most are expected in Sindhupalchok (+100), Dolakha (+170), Dhanusa, and a few in Kavrepalanchok.

Lalitpur, Bhaktapur, Kathmandu are expected to have additional damage.

Chautara has reported 4 fatalities and a number of collapsed buildings.

Update 09:05 UTC :

Please stay in open field, help us make free road, do not make phone nw busy. SMS is suggested.

Update 08:55 UTC : From the CATDAT Model:

“The key issue with this triggered earthquake is that there will be much damage on both sides of the border and there is very little data historically. Taking the intensities into account as well as a very different occupancy ratio, it is likely that there will be 50-815 fatalities with a median of 200 additional fatalities. This is using a 10% occupancy ratio in affected communities.

In addition to the damage caused by the first quake, we are calculating an additional 300-1400 million USD damage caused by this earthquake with a median of 600 (620) million USD. There are many uncertainties at this point in terms of all losses, so this will be updated in the coming hours.”

Update 08:38 UTC : There will be significant damage from this earthquake, in already damaged locations. Sindhupalchok, was already hard hit from the earthquake, with most people living outside.

Update 07:38 UTC : Below the shaking maps as published by USGS

Screen Shot 2015-05-12 at 09.37.09 Screen Shot 2015-05-12 at 09.36.56 Screen Shot 2015-05-12 at 09.36.39

Update 07:25 UTC : This earthquake or aftershock will certainly cause new fatalities and even a lot more damage

Screen Shot 2015-05-12 at 09.26.13

22km (14mi) SE of Zham, China
66km (41mi) ENE of Banepa, Nepal
69km (43mi) ENE of Panaoti, Nepal
83km (52mi) E of Kathmandu, Nepal
84km (52mi) ENE of Patan, Nepal

Most important Earthquake Data:

Magnitude : 7.3

Local Time (conversion only below land) : 2015-05-12 12:50:18

GMT/UTC Time : 2015-05-12 07:05:18


Nepal – Devastating Earthquake

Deadly earthquake Nepal – At least 802 fatalities so far – economic losses 3-5 billion US$

Last update: April 25, 2015 at 1:34 pm by By only survives with (mostly small) PRIVATE DONATIONS. Your gift will be highly appreciated.
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This report has been compiled by Armand Veraveck, Dr. James Daniell (CEDIM Karlsruhe), Jens Skapski and Carlos Robles.
NEPAL EARTHQUAKE FATALITY UPDATE (latest numbers we have) :  802 (758 Nepal, 7 China, 35 India and 2 Bangladesh)

Update 13:02 UTC : SUPERFAST aid is arriving from India. On board Search and Rescue personnel. What a great move from India !!!

Update 12:49 UTC : We have no word yet from Chinese rescuers being send to Nepal. Nepal will need as much external SaR people as possible. They will have to be flown in from everywhere in the world. Chinese rescue workers are of course also working in China as a lot of damage has been inflicted in Tibet. China reported 7 people killed by this earthquake.

Update 12:46 UTC : The seismogram recorded by Geofon in Kabul. Closer to the epicenter it will be a completely filled up with color!

Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 14.46.13

Update 12:41 UTC : the Nepali government has declared the State of Emergency (anything less was not logic)

Update 12:41 UTC : People searching for friends and family members in Nepal can best use both the Google People’s Finder

Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 14.40.57

Update 12:38 UTC : reports starting to come in from Gorkha district where villages have suffered severe damage and now cut off.

Update 12:34 UTC : the tweet below is one of the first ones coming from the greater epicenter area

Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 14.18.22

Update 12:10 UTC : A lot of Nepali laborers are reading our pages from Qatar and Oman. We @ER truly hope that all your friends and family members are safe

Update 12:06 UTC : The earthquake toll is further climbing in Nepal and India – 750 fatalities reported so far  (711 Nepal, 7 China, 30 India and 2 Bangladesh)

Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 14.08.17

Update 11:32 UTC : 630 fatalities reported so far  (597 Nepal, 7 China, 24 India and 2 Bangladesh)

Important update 11:8 UTC : Based on the USGS intensity values a lot more fatalities are to be expected (depending on the imported shaking values 1400 to 7500 fatalities). Let’s truly hope that we do not reach 1000 but we fear for the villages in the direct epicenter area.

Dust when the shaking was happening

Update 11:10 UTC : New fatalities numbers : 565 Nepal, 24 India, 6 China and 2 Bangladesh or 597 total

Update 11:10 UTC : Below the focal mechanism of the earthquake who is showing a mainly Thrust earthquake type

Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 10.55.22

Update 10:59 UTC : 6 people are now reported killed on the Everest (avalanches). Avalanches and landslides will cause many deaths elsewhere in Nepal but nothing is known so far.

Update 10:40 UTC : New fatalities number as reported by REUTERS (we could not get a confirmation elsewhere of this number) : 449 fatalities alone in Nepal so far. To be added 29 from Bangladesh, China and India – preliminary total : 478 Sad!

Update 10:24 UTC : The death toll in Nepal alone has climbed to 202 without 1 person from the direct epicenter area!

Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 12.30.29

Important Update 10:09 UTC : Everything we have reported so far and counting already many fatalities (6 are reported in China) comes from the main populated town like Kathmandu. We have NO REPORT YET from the direct epicenter. Roads towards the hardest hit villages will almost certainly have been devastated and are at no use for rescue personnel. We expect major tragedies in these areas. It will take probably until tomorrow before we have news from the direct epicenter area. Sad, very sad.

Update 09:55 UTC : At least 19 people killed in India. Damage as far as Delhi! 2people killed in Bangladesh

Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 11.57.18

Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 11.57.53

Update 09:46 UTC : A friend just reports from Kathmandu : “Lots of casualties around as it is shaking since 2 hrs regularly every 15 minutes we are very much frightening and staying safely outside at outside our open building.”

Important Update 09:29 UTC : At least 150 people killed in Kathmandu, 1 in China, 10 in Pokhara, 2 at Mount Everest Base Camp and 11 in India (2 caused by mass panic)

Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 11.44.09

Update 09:27 UTC : Emergency numbers in Nepal

Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 11.09.56 Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 11.28.00

Update 09:22 UTC : Reports are reaching us that the Base Camp of Mount Everest has been damaged seriously. Some people (number unsure have been killed – to be reconfirmed)

Update 09:20 UTC : As many as 10 people were killed in Nepal’s picturesque Pokhara area. If we overlook the situation we can tell that at this moment we have certainty that at least 100 people were killed during this earthquake. This count has not 1 person from the direct epicenter area.

Update 09:19 UTC : IANS reports that a total of five people, including two children, were killed when buildings collapsed in different parts of Bihar following the earthquake. The two children of the same family died in a wall collapse in Bhagalpur. One person each were killed in Sitamarhi, Darbhanga and Vaishali.

Update 09:12 UTC : The earthquake cost coming out of Dr. James Daniells theoretical models goes up to 2.5 billion US$!

Update 09:11 UTC : Nepal’s information minister has told BBC that there has been massive damage in Gorkha, Lamjung and Bhaktapur.

Update 09:08 UTC : some pictures circulating on the internet are clearly from other earthquakes. Why are people doing things like this?

Update 09:04 UTC : Damage and collapsed houses are reported not only in Nepal, but also in Tibet and in India. The death toll is further rising.

Update 08:53 UTC – 1.8 million people have sustained a very strong shaking and potential damage.

Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 10.51.12 Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 10.51.30 Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 10.52.35

Important update 08:38 UTC : so far 30 people have been reported killed in Nepal. This number will rise every hour. No news from the epicenter area yet. 3 people killed in Bihar India and 1 in Siliguri

Update 08:33 UTC : We expect most of the villages on the map below to have been almost completely devastated. These are mostly small villages up to a couple of thousand people. Many people will have been in the field or in the open air due to the time of the earthquake

Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 10.33.05

Update 08:30 UTC : Carlos : Nepal’s Lamjung, the epicentre of the quake, has reportedly flattened and only few buildings there are believed to be standing. (zeenews India) – 1 dead in West Bengal after wall collapsed

Update 08:28 UTC : reports are telling us that damage and injuries are noted as far as Bangladesh and India. A Chinese tourist is reported dead at Pohara

Update 08:14 UTC : We do fear for total devastation of the epicenter area based on what we can see from 80 km away in Kathmandy. Distressed people fearing that their loves ones are dead. Cruel!

Update 08:05 UTC : Message from the Everest area (far away from the epicenter)

Update 07:59 UTC : Our Median with a lot f uncertainlty comes out at an expected 1750 fatalities. Let’s hope it is less. Below world famous Durbar Square in Kathmandu. The temples are just in rubble !

Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 09.58.41 Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 09.58.50

Update 07:53 UTC : Sherpas are reporting avalanches on the Mount Everest (not necessarily leading to victims)

Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 09.55.25

Update 07:51 UTC : Official death count so far is 5 in Nepal and 1 in India (these are the first numbers). We expect it to rise at least into the hundreds.

Update 07:50 UTC : 400 feared trapped in Kathmandu’s Dharara Tower after massive 7.9 magnitude earthquake (source NDTV)

Update 07:42 UTC : The 19th century Bhimsen Tower in Kathmandu has collapsed.

Update 07:32 UTC : Especially the older Kathmandu buildings have sustained damage BUT Kathmandu is +80 km from the epicneter. The real tragedy is expected to have occurred in a radius of 20 to 30 km from the epicenter

Image from Kathmandu

Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 09.37.02

Update : The first fatalities are reported originating from collapsed homes

Update : massive aftershocks are reported from the earthquake zone. The aftershocks will add to the damage –

Important Update : USGS had increased the Magnitude to M7.9 at an extreme shallow depth of 15Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 09.03.00 Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 09.03.28 km which means that there will be almost a complete devastation in a radius of 20 km around the epicenter.

Update : Both pictures below are from Kathmandu

Update : Cell phone service is paralyzed throughout Nepal (Tamil news). Strong aftershocks are expected. In fact a M5.5 just happened a few minutes ago. Also aftershocks are expected to be more devastating.

Update : Dr. James Daniel has put all data in his theoretical model and expects in between 1400 and 7500 fatalities. To be trusted shaking intensities are still missing so these numbers are still raw estimates.

Update : reports of collapsed houses in Kathmandu AND Pokhara

Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 08.46.36

Update : Jens and Carlos who are monitoring local media are reporting huge damage in Pokahara and Kathmandu, both cities are at least 70 km from the epicenter.

Update : Based on theoretical models Dr. James Daniell expect losses to be between $250 and $750 million based on early population and intensity estimates

Update : ER expects a lot of fatalities. How many : too soon to make an estimate. Massive landslides alone can count for many. At least one good thing : the earthquake happened during daylight and in the Nepali spring = less victims

A cruel earthquake happened in the pre-Himalaya ranges of Nepal just in between Kathmandu and Pokara. We expected a lot of devastation and massive landslides

Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 08.35.14 Screen Shot 2015-04-25 at 08.35.28

35km (22mi) E of Lamjung, Nepal
60km (37mi) NNE of Bharatpur, Nepal
75km (47mi) E of Pokhara, Nepal
76km (47mi) NW of Kirtipur, Nepal
77km (48mi) NW of Kathmandu, Nepal

Most important Earthquake Data:

Magnitude : 7.8

Local Time (conversion only below land) : 2015-04-25 11:56:26

GMT/UTC Time : 2015-04-25 06:11:26

Depth (Hypocenter) : 18 km


Nepal Large Earthquake

Dangerous earthquake in Rukum, Nepal injures 20, damages 14 houses

Last update: June 28, 2013 at 3:15 pm by By

Update 15:10 UTC : At least 20 people are reported to be injured in earthquake in Rukum, Nepal. Earthquake has damaged more than 14 houses in Rukum. Still have to wait for tomorrow morning for details. People rushed out of their houses in Salyan, Jajarkot, Rolpa and other neighboring districts.

Update 13:28 UTC
: We have just added the data of the Nepal National Seismological Center to the list. NSC has reported a Richter Magnitude ML 5.5. They are never disclosing the depth, at least not online. A same difference in data was seen at the earlier Rukum earthquakes. ER keeps his denomination as “dangerous”.

Update 12:59 UTC : Light to weak shaking has been reported from Dailekh, Pokhara, Birendranagar and Tulsipur

Update 12:33 UTC : On March 24 a similar, although a little weaker, earthquake struck the same area. Some prople had to be treated for minor injuries + a number of houses were damaged and others collapsed. Check our in-depth article about this earthquake here.

Update 12:30 UTC : the earthquake was well felt in Kathmandu as well as in Pokhara. We do not expect damage outside the perimeter we have referred to below.

Update 12:25 UTC : It will take many hours before we will be getting news from the epicenter area. We consider a radius of 20 km around the epicenter as a potentially dangerous landslide area

We do not immediately fear shaking damage from this earthquake, but we do fear dangerous landslides as the monsoon has began his yearly work in the Himalayas

Different epicenters are being reported by the most important seismological agencies.

Image of the landscape near the epicenter - Image courtesy MaMaTa

Image of the landscape near the epicenter – Image courtesy MaMaTa

42km (26mi) NNE of Salyan, Nepal
58km (36mi) E of Dailekh, Nepal
66km (41mi) ENE of Birendranagar, Nepal
67km (42mi) N of Tulsipur, Nepal
318km (198mi) WNW of Kathmandu, Nepal

Most important Earthquake Data:

Magnitude : 5

Local Time (conversion only below land) : 2013-06-28 17:25:51

GMT/UTC Time : 2013-06-28 11:40:51

Depth (Hypocenter)  : 10 km