Deadly earthquake Nepal – At least 802 fatalities so far – economic losses 3-5 billion US$
Last update: April 25, 2015 at 1:34 pm by By Armand Vervaeck
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This report has been compiled by Armand Veraveck, Dr. James Daniell (CEDIM Karlsruhe), Jens Skapski and Carlos Robles.
NEPAL EARTHQUAKE FATALITY UPDATE (latest numbers we have) : 802 (758 Nepal, 7 China, 35 India and 2 Bangladesh)
Update 13:02 UTC : SUPERFAST aid is arriving from India. On board Search and Rescue personnel. What a great move from India !!!
Update 12:49 UTC : We have no word yet from Chinese rescuers being send to Nepal. Nepal will need as much external SaR people as possible. They will have to be flown in from everywhere in the world. Chinese rescue workers are of course also working in China as a lot of damage has been inflicted in Tibet. China reported 7 people killed by this earthquake.
Update 12:46 UTC : The seismogram recorded by Geofon in Kabul. Closer to the epicenter it will be a completely filled up with color!
Update 12:41 UTC : the Nepali government has declared the State of Emergency (anything less was not logic)
Update 12:41 UTC : People searching for friends and family members in Nepal can best use both the Google People’s Finder
Update 12:38 UTC : reports starting to come in from Gorkha district where villages have suffered severe damage and now cut off.
Update 12:34 UTC : the tweet below is one of the first ones coming from the greater epicenter area
Update 12:10 UTC : A lot of Nepali laborers are reading our pages from Qatar and Oman. We @ER truly hope that all your friends and family members are safe
Update 12:06 UTC : The earthquake toll is further climbing in Nepal and India – 750 fatalities reported so far (711 Nepal, 7 China, 30 India and 2 Bangladesh)
Update 11:32 UTC : 630 fatalities reported so far (597 Nepal, 7 China, 24 India and 2 Bangladesh)
Important update 11:8 UTC : Based on the USGS intensity values a lot more fatalities are to be expected (depending on the imported shaking values 1400 to 7500 fatalities). Let’s truly hope that we do not reach 1000 but we fear for the villages in the direct epicenter area.
Update 11:10 UTC : New fatalities numbers : 565 Nepal, 24 India, 6 China and 2 Bangladesh or 597 total
Update 11:10 UTC : Below the focal mechanism of the earthquake who is showing a mainly Thrust earthquake type
Update 10:59 UTC : 6 people are now reported killed on the Everest (avalanches). Avalanches and landslides will cause many deaths elsewhere in Nepal but nothing is known so far.
Update 10:40 UTC : New fatalities number as reported by REUTERS (we could not get a confirmation elsewhere of this number) : 449 fatalities alone in Nepal so far. To be added 29 from Bangladesh, China and India – preliminary total : 478 Sad!
Update 10:24 UTC : The death toll in Nepal alone has climbed to 202 without 1 person from the direct epicenter area!
Important Update 10:09 UTC : Everything we have reported so far and counting already many fatalities (6 are reported in China) comes from the main populated town like Kathmandu. We have NO REPORT YET from the direct epicenter. Roads towards the hardest hit villages will almost certainly have been devastated and are at no use for rescue personnel. We expect major tragedies in these areas. It will take probably until tomorrow before we have news from the direct epicenter area. Sad, very sad.
Update 09:55 UTC : At least 19 people killed in India. Damage as far as Delhi! 2people killed in Bangladesh
Update 09:46 UTC : A friend just reports from Kathmandu : “Lots of casualties around as it is shaking since 2 hrs regularly every 15 minutes we are very much frightening and staying safely outside at outside our open building.”
Important Update 09:29 UTC : At least 150 people killed in Kathmandu, 1 in China, 10 in Pokhara, 2 at Mount Everest Base Camp and 11 in India (2 caused by mass panic)
Update 09:27 UTC : Emergency numbers in Nepal
Update 09:22 UTC : Reports are reaching us that the Base Camp of Mount Everest has been damaged seriously. Some people (number unsure have been killed – to be reconfirmed)
Update 09:20 UTC : As many as 10 people were killed in Nepal’s picturesque Pokhara area. If we overlook the situation we can tell that at this moment we have certainty that at least 100 people were killed during this earthquake. This count has not 1 person from the direct epicenter area.
Update 09:19 UTC : IANS reports that a total of five people, including two children, were killed when buildings collapsed in different parts of Bihar following the earthquake. The two children of the same family died in a wall collapse in Bhagalpur. One person each were killed in Sitamarhi, Darbhanga and Vaishali.
Update 09:12 UTC : The earthquake cost coming out of Dr. James Daniells theoretical models goes up to 2.5 billion US$!
Update 09:11 UTC : Nepal’s information minister has told BBC that there has been massive damage in Gorkha, Lamjung and Bhaktapur.
Update 09:08 UTC : some pictures circulating on the internet are clearly from other earthquakes. Why are people doing things like this?
Update 09:04 UTC : Damage and collapsed houses are reported not only in Nepal, but also in Tibet and in India. The death toll is further rising.
Update 08:53 UTC – 1.8 million people have sustained a very strong shaking and potential damage.
Important update 08:38 UTC : so far 30 people have been reported killed in Nepal. This number will rise every hour. No news from the epicenter area yet. 3 people killed in Bihar India and 1 in Siliguri
Update 08:33 UTC : We expect most of the villages on the map below to have been almost completely devastated. These are mostly small villages up to a couple of thousand people. Many people will have been in the field or in the open air due to the time of the earthquake
Update 08:30 UTC : Carlos : Nepal’s Lamjung, the epicentre of the quake, has reportedly flattened and only few buildings there are believed to be standing. (zeenews India) – 1 dead in West Bengal after wall collapsed
Update 08:28 UTC : reports are telling us that damage and injuries are noted as far as Bangladesh and India. A Chinese tourist is reported dead at Pohara
Update 08:14 UTC : We do fear for total devastation of the epicenter area based on what we can see from 80 km away in Kathmandy. Distressed people fearing that their loves ones are dead. Cruel!
Update 08:05 UTC : Message from the Everest area (far away from the epicenter)
Update 07:59 UTC : Our Median with a lot f uncertainlty comes out at an expected 1750 fatalities. Let’s hope it is less. Below world famous Durbar Square in Kathmandu. The temples are just in rubble !
Update 07:53 UTC : Sherpas are reporting avalanches on the Mount Everest (not necessarily leading to victims)
Update 07:51 UTC : Official death count so far is 5 in Nepal and 1 in India (these are the first numbers). We expect it to rise at least into the hundreds.
Update 07:50 UTC : 400 feared trapped in Kathmandu’s Dharara Tower after massive 7.9 magnitude earthquake (source NDTV)
Update 07:42 UTC : The 19th century Bhimsen Tower in Kathmandu has collapsed.
Update 07:32 UTC : Especially the older Kathmandu buildings have sustained damage BUT Kathmandu is +80 km from the epicneter. The real tragedy is expected to have occurred in a radius of 20 to 30 km from the epicenter
Image from Kathmandu
Update : The first fatalities are reported originating from collapsed homes
Update : massive aftershocks are reported from the earthquake zone. The aftershocks will add to the damage –
Important Update : USGS had increased the Magnitude to M7.9 at an extreme shallow depth of 15 km which means that there will be almost a complete devastation in a radius of 20 km around the epicenter.
Update : Both pictures below are from Kathmandu
Update : Cell phone service is paralyzed throughout Nepal (Tamil news). Strong aftershocks are expected. In fact a M5.5 just happened a few minutes ago. Also aftershocks are expected to be more devastating.
Update : Dr. James Daniel has put all data in his theoretical model and expects in between 1400 and 7500 fatalities. To be trusted shaking intensities are still missing so these numbers are still raw estimates.
Update : reports of collapsed houses in Kathmandu AND Pokhara
Update : Jens and Carlos who are monitoring local media are reporting huge damage in Pokahara and Kathmandu, both cities are at least 70 km from the epicenter.
Update : Based on theoretical models Dr. James Daniell expect losses to be between $250 and $750 million based on early population and intensity estimates
Update : ER expects a lot of fatalities. How many : too soon to make an estimate. Massive landslides alone can count for many. At least one good thing : the earthquake happened during daylight and in the Nepali spring = less victims
A cruel earthquake happened in the pre-Himalaya ranges of Nepal just in between Kathmandu and Pokara. We expected a lot of devastation and massive landslides
35km (22mi) E of Lamjung, Nepal
60km (37mi) NNE of Bharatpur, Nepal
75km (47mi) E of Pokhara, Nepal
76km (47mi) NW of Kirtipur, Nepal
77km (48mi) NW of Kathmandu, Nepal
Most important Earthquake Data:
Magnitude : 7.8
Local Time (conversion only below land) : 2015-04-25 11:56:26
GMT/UTC Time : 2015-04-25 06:11:26
Depth (Hypocenter) : 18 km