Phish, the Sphere, the Cage, Your Kids, and What Comes Next

The Portal

Notes From Inside The Rehearsal Venue

I went to Phish at the Sphere. Yes, I know this may shock, and possibly even disappoint, people who have been following my writing. I most definitely broke a few of my own rules to get there.

Putting aside my own long and complicated relationship with this band, the trip to the Sphere was the kind of thing I’d normally write a piece warning people about, and yet, I went anyway. I wanted – maybe even needed – to see what I’d see. So, I accepted the invitation from a friend to join him and some others for two nights in Vegas.

The friends I traveled with are people I love but haven’t seen in a while. We met up with a larger group there, some old friends, some new, most of whom I hadn’t seen since the world got really weird. Some are aware of my tendencies to dive into rabbit holes, others were meeting me for the first time and had no idea what my deal was. Overall, the crew I was hanging with is far more technology-optimistic in a way I am no longer. The disagreement was real and we held it lightly. My sense is that most think I overread the world and ascribe intent to what they perceive as naturally emergent behavior.

The trip started with me being asked for ID at the airport. When I showed my license and was told I needed a “Real ID” I pulled out a passport. One of the guys on my flight watched and asked, Why can’t you get a digital one? Not hostile at all but genuinely confused why I hadn’t taken this step yet, assuming I would eventually. When I explained that I am abstaining because I’m afraid of The Authentication Layer, he couldn’t parse the friction. I tried to explain and he tried to follow. We both gave up politely and moved on.

We spent the day hanging out before the show. Some of the conversations bled into some interesting areas. Things like whether or not we should use sunscreen, or homeschool our kids. Each one got some goofy stares and some head scratching. I always try to walk a fine line between having civil, thoughtful conversations with people and becoming a zealot proselytizing a worldview. I got some looks back of affection and mild concern, but it was all in good fun and good faith. For what it’s worth, I’m pretty comfortable being the butt of the joke.

At some point I’d said something about being a little wary of the venue itself, which elicited blank stares. The conversation got around to why exactly, and I tried to explain and made it worse. I made a joke about graphene nanobots being sprayed on us from the rafters. They looked at me like I was a lunatic. Which of course I am.

•••

I should mention that I’m not a Vegas guy. In fact, I hadn’t been in over twenty years. The place is crazier than I remembered. Even from a nice hotel, you spend the weekend in a running joke about the women in the lobby (Is she working?) and the larger local economy of constructed experiences. The casino floors timed to the daylight you can’t see. The entire city built to make you forget there’s a desert outside.

Vegas has been the rehearsal venue for synthetic reality for decades. Paris built on top of a desert, Egypt next door to Italy, a skyline that copies skylines. This city taught Americans to drive across the country to spend a weekend inside a curated version of somewhere else. Baudrillard called this hyperreality forty-five years ago and used Vegas as the exemplar, a place where the copy precedes the original and the original stops being the point. The Sphere is what Vegas was always trying to be. It won’t stay in Vegas, however, Sin City is the natural destination of the prototype.

•••

That’s the context I carried into the room.

Some of my dissident friends mocked me for going. Of course, I get it. I knew what I was signing up for intellectually but I wanted to understand it experientially – and maybe even spiritually. I wanted to see whether what I’d been writing about lived in my body the way it lived on the page, and I wasn’t going to find that out from a YouTube clip.

If I were running a venue like this, I’d be lying if I said I wouldn’t use it as an R&D lab. Seventeen thousand bodies in a controlled sensory environment, every chair instrumented, every face on camera, every response measurable in real time. Anyone interested in the human condition understands that’s a dataset. To be clear, I’m not saying that’s what’s happening here, just that the capability is plainly there.

By tomorrow somebody could theoretically be remote-controlling me through a chair I was sitting in willingly. I went anyway. A lot of the people in that room, including some of my friends, think what’s being built is wonderful, even essential. They think we’re all getting smarter, more connected, more capable – perhaps they’re right. But the capability is the capability, and walking through those doors was me consenting to the trade. I don’t regret it, not even a little. It was worth seeing for myself.

•••

So, how could I possibly describe the experience of being in the Sphere? Anyone who’s been there already knows. Those who haven’t will know soon enough. I’m not talking about the building itself, which is utterly fascinating. What I’m referring to is the thing the building is doing.

The fidelity is past the point where your nervous system can sort it in real time. The visuals are one layer. There’s also air currents you can feel on your face, timed to what you’re seeing. The chair vibrates with the bass in a way that isn’t speakers. It’s the room becoming part of the instrument. You don’t watch the show. You’re inside it.

The Sphere is not just a bigger screen or a better venue – it’s a new medium entirely.

I’ll admit, the first night I barely watched the band. I was staring up. I caught myself halfway through the set and felt vaguely guilty about it, like I’d shown up to a friend’s wedding and spent the ceremony looking at the chandelier. The second night I trained myself to stay locked in on the stage. Believe it or not, I actually had to work at it. The room itself wants your attention, it commands it, and, in a way, the band has to compete with the room they’re playing in.

Phish threaded the needle masterfully. The improvisation was there and the crowd was alive. They pulled off what most acts won’t be able to, because Phish fans came in with forty years of muscle memory for what a real moment is supposed to feel like, and the band knows enough not to let the visuals do the work the music is supposed to do.

If you were there to see Phish, you saw Phish. It just wasn’t the Phish I’d been seeing since the early 90s. Usually I’m locked into the interplay between band and crowd, the feedback loop that makes a jam band a jam band. This time the room was a third party in that conversation, and a loud one.

Somewhere in the middle of the second set, during a long slow build, I looked over at the friend who’d asked about the digital ID. Eyes closed, not staring up. He was listening. For a brief moment, he glanced at me and grinned and went back into it. We were having the same night. I just couldn’t stop noticing the room.

•••

Here is what my friends would say, and they’d have a point: Every generation panics about the medium that arrived after they got their tastes set. Radio was going to ruin children. Television was going to rot us. Rock and roll was the devil. The internet was going to atomize us. Video games were going to make a generation of killers. Smartphones were going to destroy attention. Every panic produced a body of essays exactly like the one I’m trying to write right now, and many of those essays have aged badly. The kids who grew up inside the new medium developed muscles their parents didn’t have. The medium got absorbed into life and life kept going.

The Sphere is amazing. Their kids and mine are going to live inside experiences I can’t anticipate and will probably envy. The future is going to be more textured, not less. Loosen up and enjoy the show, right? I need to let that perspective sit because it’s a possibility that my friends might be right.

And yet some of the people – including many I respect – would tell this group of friends they’re being too generous. They’d say we lost the thread years ago, that the door closed quietly, that it isn’t whether the muscle adapts but whether it’s worth adapting to a world this far from what was given to us.

I’m somewhere between those two and the side of the room I’m closer to shifts on any given day. The bigger question is whether it’s preventable or preordained.

Most of what I want to say sits in the gap between them. Not collapse but rather drift. The cage is the cumulative shape of what you stopped noticing. Each layer of the engineered reality stack arrives as a gift. None of the individual gifts looks like a problem. They add up over a long enough time horizon, and the time horizon is the thing nobody tracks because there’s no incentive to.

•••

I keep coming back to what the Sphere showed me. The layer between my senses and the world can be written. Not metaphorically but quite literally. By people I don’t know, with goals I can’t see, at resolution my body cannot reject. My eyes report cosmos, my skin feels the wind and my spine was grooving to the bass. None of it is the world the body is in. All of it is real to the body that’s in it.

That’s the thing the prior panics didn’t have to account for. Radio put a voice in your living room. Television manufactured an image of events you didn’t witness. Streaming tuned a personalized version of the world to keep you watching. Each layer added definition, and each layer worked at a level above the body. The body remained the floor. Even when you’d been lied to about everything else, you still knew when you were hungry, cold, tired, in love, in danger. The body was the last instrument we had for reality-testing that hadn’t been engineered.

The Sphere is the proof of concept that the substrate can be too. The muscle my friends are counting on to adapt is the muscle that’s being engineered.

Once the floor can be engineered, reality-testing from the inside stops working. You’d need someone outside the room to tell you what’s outside the room.

•••

The Sphere is the cage with the seams showing. The dome, the chairs, the air timed to the visuals, you can see the architecture because that’s what you bought a ticket to see. The other ones have been sanded down. The personalized feed that learned what makes you happy/angry. The smart speaker listening for keywords. The maps app deciding what counts as a road. The smoothing of every public square. Programs to study how visual and sensory environments shape mass psychology have been running for decades. You’ve been beta-testing the portal for years. The Sphere is just the version where you can still see the seams, because for once the architecture was being revealed.

This is what entertainment is for in a managed society. Not distraction but rehearsal. Huxley nailed it almost a century ago:

A really efficient totalitarian state would be one in which the all-powerful executive of political bosses and their army of managers control a population of slaves who do not have to be coerced, because they love their servitude.

Compliance through pleasure is more stable than compliance through coercion, because there’s nothing to push back against. You don’t resist what feels good. The Sphere is the rehearsal venue for a sensory layer that’s coming whether or not you want it. It’s the last venue where you can still physically walk out of the room.

•••

I’ve now been sitting with this for a couple of days and what I can’t shake is that the Sphere isn’t really the subject. It’s just the place where I could see it.

The subject is the shift itself. What all of us can feel underneath everything right now, even when many of us, including the people I was with, may disagree about what it actually is. Even my most tech-optimistic friends feel it. They may have different names for it and different feelings about it and different bets on where it lands. But none of us is walking around right now feeling like the world we’re in is the same world we were in five years ago. Something is moving under our feet, and the Sphere is one of the places where the movement breaks the surface long enough to be photographed.

That’s why I went. Not just for the concert itself, although that was a gift. It was to check the reading. To see whether what I’d been writing was real or whether I was making it up. To stand inside the loudest version of the thing I’d been describing and find out whether my body confirmed it or whether I was Cassandra, or whether I was just the guy at the bar overexplaining what a concert meant.

My body confirmed it. So did my friend’s body. We just had very different reads on what to do with the confirmation.

•••

Maybe I’m wrong about all of this.

Maybe I’m pattern-matching. I’m well aware I do that. After all, when you have a hammer, everything looks like a nail. Maybe the lineage I just drew is a story I’m telling myself because I’ve been writing about engineered reality for a few years and everything I see now looks like the thing I’ve been writing about. Maybe my friends are right and I’m the one who needs to chill.

I want to sit with that too.

There was a stretch on the first night when the visuals went somewhere I can only describe as cosmic. Depth past depth, the room dissolving into something my brain processed as standing inside a galaxy. I thought about my kids. How I’d want them to feel that at least once. Not a movie about space but inside it. That’s a real gift and I felt it.

That’s the trap. The gifts and the cage are the same technology. The question is who’s holding it, what they’re authoring, and whether anyone left in the room remembers what unauthored space is supposed to feel like.

•••

On the way out of the second show, the friend who’d asked about the digital ID was a few steps ahead of me. Loose, happy, talking with someone else about the slow build, hands moving. He turned around, saw me, gave me the same grin from the floor, what a night. We were stepping out of the loud version of the portal into the quieter one (if you can call Las Vegas Blvd quiet). He didn’t notice. He’s not wrong. He may be more right than I am.

I went home not knowing whether I’d seen the future and it was beautiful, or seen the future and it was a cage, or whether those are the same thing.

What I do know is that I had a great time. That’s probably the part that scares me most.

from:    https://stylman.substack.com/p/the-portal

Aliens in Vegas?

Vegas_sign

Aliens Wearing Human Outfits Visit Vegas Casinos to Unwind

Unwind from what? Is living with humans really so stressful to aliens known as Tall Whites that they can only relax by playing the slots, watching showgirls and stuffing their faces at buffets until they become Big and Tall Whites ? That’s just some of what author and former Air Force serviceman Charles Hall is telling audiences on his latest book tour in Norway.

Charles “Charlie” Hall is the author of a series of four sci-fi novels called “Millennial Hospitality” which he later revealed were based on his real experiences in the military.

In 1964, when I was a weather observer at Nellis Air Force Base in Nevada, I witnessed interactions between the military and a group of mysterious tall, white, human-like extra-terrestrials. Their craft are capable of traveling faster than the speed of light because Einstein was wrong about relativity.

tallwhites and hall

According to a news report on his book tour, Hall says the Tall Whites have been working with our military since the 1950s and have shared their technology with us. Hall says there was a lot of interaction between the aliens and humans while he was there.

That interaction included visiting Las Vegas. He says the aliens dressed in human clothing, put on sunglasses and blended in with the other odd-looking tourists on the Vegas strip. Their favorite hangout was the Stardust and they were always surrounded by CIA agents. Gee, how much fun could that be?

Tall Whites are said to be human-like with large blue wrap-around eyes and translucent platinum blond hair and can be up to 8 feet tall. It’s probably good that the aliens were in disguise and under guard, according to Hall.

When you encounter the Tall Whites, it’s such a shock, you are not sure if you are looking at a ghost or an angel, or if you are dreaming.

Before you go dismissing Hall’s stories, consider that Iran claims documents released by Edward Snowden prove that Tall Whites not only exist, they have been running the U.S. since 1945 and helped Nazi Germany come into power.

from:http://mysteriousuniverse.org/2014/12/aliens-wearing-human-outfits-visit-vegas-casinos-to-unwind/

Drought Causes Colorado River Flow Cut

For the first time in history, the U.S. government has ordered that flow of Colorado River water from the 50-year-old Glen Canyon Dam be slashed, due to a water crisis brought about by the region’s historic 14-year drought. On Friday, the Federal Bureau of Reclamation–a division of the Department of Interior that manages water and electric power in the West–announced that it would cut water released from Lake Powell’s Glen Canyon Dam by 750,000 acre-feet in 2014. An acre-foot is the amount of water that will cover an acre of land one foot deep; 750,000 acre-feet is enough water to supply at least 750,000 homes for one year. The flow reduction will leave the Colorado River 9% below the 8.23 million acre feet that is supposed to be supplied downstream to Lake Mead for use in California, Nevada, Arizona and Mexico under the Colorado River Compact of 1922 and later agreements. “This is the worst 14-year drought period in the last hundred years,” said Upper Colorado Regional Director Larry Walkoviak in a Bureau of Reclamation press release.

In the winter of 2005, Lake Powell reached its lowest level since filling, an elevation 150′ below full pool. Lake levels recovered some in during 2005 – 2011, but the resurgence of severe to extreme drought conditions have provoked a steep decline in 2012 and 2013, with the lake falling 35′ over the past year. As of August 18, 2013, Lake Powell was 109′ below full pool (45% of capacity), and was falling at a rate of one foot every six days.


Figure 1. Satellite comparisons of water levels in Arizona and Utah’s Lake Powell between 1999 and 2013 show a huge reduction in the amount of water in the lake. Image credit: NASA Earth Observatory.


Figure 2. From October 1, 2012 – July 31, 2013, precipitation over the Colorado River Watershed was about 80% of average. Image credit: Colorado Basin River Forecast Center.

Las Vegas’ Water Supply, Lake Mead, Near a Record Low
Downstream of Lake Powell lies Lake Mead, filled in 1936 when Hoover Dam was completed. Lake Mead supplies Las Vegas with ninety percent of its drinking water, and the water level of Lake Mead is expected to fall by eight feet in 2014 due to the lower water flow levels out of Lake Powell ordered on Friday. Lake Mead has fallen by 100 feet since the current 14-year drought began in 2000, and the higher of the two intake pipes used to supply Las Vegas with water from the lake is in danger of running dry. As a result, a seven-year, $800 million project is underway by the Southern Nevada Water Authority to build a third intake pipe that will tap the deepest part of the reservoir. This so-called “third straw” is scheduled to be available late in 2014, which may be cutting it close, if the Colorado River watershed experiences another year of drought as severe as in 2012 – 2013. Southern Nevada has done well to reduce water usage, though–the region’s annual water consumption decreased by nearly 29 billion gallons between 2002 and 2012, despite a population increase of more than 400,000 during that span.


Figure 3. Lake Mead water levels from 1938 – 2013 in July show a precipitous drop since drought conditions gripped the Western U.S. in 2000. The Lake Mead photo was taken by wunderphotographer LAjoneson June 29, 2007, when the lake had a “bathtub ring” 109′ tall. Water level data from The Bureau of Reclamation.


Figure 4. Workers handle the main drive sections of the tunnel boring machine that is drilling a 3-mile long tunnel through solid rock to supply Las Vegas with water from Lake Mead. The new intake tunnel is designed to maintain the ability to draw upon Colorado River water at lake elevations as low as 1,000 feet above sea level. The lake already has two intake pipes, and the higher of these will go dry when the lake level hits 1050′ – 1075′. As of August 2013, the Lake Mead water level was 1106′ above sea level, which is 114′ below full pool, but 24′ above the record low water level of 1081′ set in November 2010. Image credit: Southern Nevada Water Authority.

Drought conditions worsen over Southwest U.S. in August
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the Western U.S. drought peaked in July 2002, when 79% of the West was in at least severe drought, and 45% of the region was in the two highest categories of drought–extreme to exceptional. However, drought conditions have been steadily intensifying this summer. The August 13, 2013 Drought Monitor report showed that drought conditions in the Western U.S. are now the worst since 2004, with 78% of the West in at least severe drought, and 20% in the two highest categories of drought, extreme and exceptional. The latest U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook, issued on August 15, calls for drought to remain entrenched over the large majority of the Western U.S. through the end of November.


Figure 5. As of August 13, 2013, severe to exceptional drought gripped nearly all of the Colorado RIver’s watershed in Arizona, Utah, New Mexico, Wyoming, California, and Colorado. Image credit: NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC.

Causes of the great Western U.S. drought
It is well-known that natural variations in sea surface temperature patterns, such as seen from the El Niño/La Niña oscillation, can influence storm tracks and can cause prolonged periods of drought. These natural variations likely had a hand in causing the great 2000 – 2013 Western U.S. drought. However, changes in the amount of sea ice covering the Arctic can also have a major impact on Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation patterns. We must consider if global warming, which has led to a 50% decline in summer Arctic sea ice extent since 1979, may be altering storm tracks and contributing to drought. In 2004, Lisa Sloan, professor of Earth sciences at UC Santa Cruz, and her graduate student Jacob Sewall published an article in Geophysical Research Letters, Disappearing Arctic sea ice reduces available water in the American west. An accompanying news release explained that their climate models found “a significant reduction in rain and snowfall in the American West” as a result of Arctic sea ice loss:

What they found was a change in atmospheric circulation patterns that caused a small northward shift in the paths of winter storms over western North America. This shift in winter storm tracks resulted in significantly reduced winter precipitation from southern British Columbia to the Gulf of California. In some areas, average annual precipitation dropped by as much as 30 percent. The reductions were greatest along the West Coast, with lesser changes further inland. But even as far inland as the Rocky Mountains, winter precipitation fell by 17 percent.

The sea ice acts like a lid over the ocean surface during the winter, blocking the transfer of heat from the ocean to the atmosphere, Sewall explained. Where the sea ice is reduced, heat transfer from the ocean warms the atmosphere, resulting in a rising column of relatively warm air. The shift in storm tracks over North America was linked to the formation of these columns of warmer air over areas of reduced sea ice in the Greenland Sea and a few other locations.

A follow-up paper by Dr. Sewall in 2005, “Precipitation Shifts over Western North America as a Result of Declining Arctic Sea Ice Cover: The Coupled System Response”, used a more sophisticated modeling technique but confirmed the results of the 2004 paper. In a June 2013 interview with climateprogress.org, Dr. Sewall commented:

“I think the hypothesis from 2004 and 2005 is being borne out by current changes. The only real difference is that reality is moving faster then we though/hoped it would almost a decade ago.”


Figure 6. The area of the Western U.S. in drought peaked during 2002 – 2004, but during 2013 has been approaching levels not seen since 2004. Image credit: U.S. Drought Portal.

Western North America drought of 2000 – 2004 the worst in over 800 years
The Colorado River’s water woes are due to an extraordinary 14-year drought that began in 2000, which peaked during 2000 – 2004. A 2012 study titled, Reduction in carbon uptake during turn of the century drought in western North America, found that the 2000 – 2004 drought was the most severe Western North America event of its kind since the last mega drought over 800 years ago, during the years 1146 – 1151. The paper analyzed the latest generation of climate models used for the 2013 IPCC report, which project that the weather conditions that spawned the 2000 – 2004 drought will be the new normal in the Western U.S. by 2030, and will be considered extremely wet by the year 2100. If these dire predictions of a coming “megadrought” are anywhere close to correct, it will be extremely challenging for the Southwest U.S. to support a growing population in the coming decades.

Figure 7. Normalized precipitation over Western North America (five-year mean) from 22 climate models used to formulate the 2013 IPCC report, as summarized by Schwalm et al., 2012, Reduction in carbon uptake during turn of the century drought in western North America. The horizontal line marks the precipitation level of the 2000 – 2004 drought, the worst of the past 800 years. Droughts of this intensity are predicted to be the new normal by 2030, and will be considered an outlier of extreme wetness by 2100. The paper states: “This impending drydown of western North America is consistent with present trends in snowpack decline as well as expected in-creases in aridity and extreme climate events,including drought, and is driven by anthropogenically forced increases in temperature with coincident increases in evapotranspiration and decreases in soil moisture. Although regional precipitation patterns are difficult to forecast, climate models tend to underestimate the extent and severity of drought relative to available observations. As such, actual reductions in precipitation may be greater than shown. Forecasted precipitation patterns are consistent with a probable twenty-first century megadrought.” Image credit: Schwalm et al., 2012, Reduction in carbon uptake during turn of the century drought in western North America, Nature Geoscience 5, 551-555, Published online 29 JULY 2012, DOI: 10.1038/NGEO1529, www.nature.com/naturegeoscience.

from:    http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=2495

10/17 New Mexico Earthquake

Earthquake Details

  • This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.
Magnitude 3.8
Date-Time
Location 35.828°N, 105.951°W
Depth 1.1 km (~0.7 mile) (poorly constrained)
Region NEW MEXICO
Distances 16 km (9 miles) N of SANTA FE, New Mexico
32 km (19 miles) ESE of Los Alamos, New Mexico
68 km (42 miles) WNW of Las Vegas, New Mexico
72 km (44 miles) SSW of Taos, New Mexico
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 12.1 km (7.5 miles); depth +/- 10.3 km (6.4 miles)
Parameters NST= 24, Nph= 29, Dmin=108 km, Rmss=0.71 sec, Gp= 61°,
M-type=centroid moment magnitude (Mw), Version=6

from:    http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/usc0006ap0.php