Earthquake w/Tsunami Risk – PNG

Damaging earthquake with Tsunami risk off the coast of New Britain, Papua New Guinea

Last update: March 31, 2015 at 10:57 am by By

Update March 31 :
The article below comes from the Papua New Guinean newspaperThe National

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Update 09:16 UTC : The tsunami threat was inflicted by the type of earthquake, a mainly thrust mechanism who is responsible for an upwards movement of the water column on top of the epicenter ( “Understanding Beach Balls” article)

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Update 03:30 UTC : TSUNAMI THREAT LARGELY OVER

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Update 01:51 UTC : USGS has recalculates its data and now reports a Magnitude of 7.5 at a depth of 40 km

Update 01:40 UTC : Tsunami Message nr. 3 from the PTWC (almost no change)

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Update 01:33 UTC : Robert Speta, meteorologist at NHK Tokyo did send the following tweet, which is in part hopeful but at the downside we do not like to see the word damage.

Update 01:25 UTC : Dr. James Daniell from CEDIM, Karlsruhe, Germany has put all data in his model and is getting a chance of 0 to 2 fatalities and 0 to 10 injuries.

Update 01:20 UTC : 3 buoys (the biggest yellow diamonds) are currently blinking which means that they have detected a change in level (tide omitted)

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Update 01:15 UTC : New version of the GDACS Tsunami waves expectation list (the full list can be consulted here)  :

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Update 01:01 UTC : Professor Max Wyss, specialized in computing human impact has published his report and he expects  0 to 20 fatalities and 20 to 200 injured. We at Earthquake-report.com do expect, based on the current parameters, that there is only a small chance for injuries. PNG is however a nation who has not a good reputation in listing the exact number of injured as most of the country is not accessible by road.

Update 00:59 UTC : PNG is used to strong swaying and massive earthquakes. The biggest treat is however tsunamis but people living in coastal areas are also used to auto-evacuate immediately after they feel strong shaking. Tsunami waves can however inflict serious damage along the coasts.

Update 00:50 UTC : GDACS has issued a list of theoretical tsunami heights. The main treat area are the closest coasts of New Britain and New Ireland. The depth of the hypocenter is an important factor for the calculation of the wave height.

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IMPORTANT UPDATE 00:37 UTC : PLEASE READ THIS MESSAGE CAREFULLY IF YOU LIVE ON THE COASTS OF THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS

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Update 00:31 UTC : Damage is possible but as people are used to very strong earthquakes on PNG and as the epicenter if below the ocean we expect only limited damage. We are more concerned about the tsunami treat.

Update 00:17 UTC : Official Tsunami message from the PWTC : HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN 1000 KM OF THE EPICENTER ALONG THE COASTS OF PAPUA NEW GUINEA AND SOLOMON ISLANDS

Update 00:14 UTC : Very strong shaking expected in a wide radius. Due to the hypocenter at intermediate depth the shaking will have been weakened but will be still very strong.

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54km (34mi) SE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea
282km (175mi) ENE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea
309km (192mi) SE of Kavieng, Papua New Guinea
367km (228mi) WNW of Arawa, Papua New Guinea
789km (490mi) NE of Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea

Most important Earthquake Data:

Magnitude : 7.4

Local Time (conversion only below land) : 2015-03-30 09:48:28

GMT/UTC Time : 2015-03-29 23:48:28

from:    http://earthquake-report.com/2015/03/30/massive-earthquake-new-britain-region-p-n-g-on-march-29-2015/

Solomon Islands Major Quake – Tsunami

Massive earthquake in the Solomon Islands – Tsunami hit Makira Island

Last update: April 13, 2014 at 7:57 am by By

Update April 13, 07:50 UTC:
At least 3 tsunami waves have hit the coasts of Makira Island. The highest tides measured 1 – 3 meters in different parts of the island. A wave of two meters heigh is confirmed in the eastern part of Makira. Only minor damage caused by the tsunami is reported so far.
A little wave of about 3 cm heigh was also confirmed on Lata Islands, which suffered severe damage by a tsunami last year.
The quake itself damaged many houses, esspecially in Kirakira, the biggest town on Makira.

Update 20:54 UTC:  NOAA statement:

 A TSUNAMI WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR

 SOLOMON ISLANDS / VANUATU / PAPUA NEW GUINEA

Update 20:52 UTC: The earthquake has been downgraded to 7.6 by the USGS.

Solomon Islands

 

Most important Earthquake Data:

Magnitude : 8.3

Local Time (conversion only below land) : 2014-04-13 07:14:37

GMT/UTC Time : 2014-04-12 20:14:37

Depth (Hypocenter) : 10 km

from:    http://earthquake-report.com/2014/04/12/massive-earthquake-kirakira-solomon-islands-on-april-12-2014/

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Earthquake off coast of New ireland, PNG

Very strong earthquake off the coast of New Ireland, Papua New Guinea

Last update: July 28, 2012 at 8:35 pm by By

Very strong earthquake off the coast of New Ireland, Papua New Guinea
4000 people will have experienced a moderate MMI V shaking. A lot more a light or a weak to very weak shaking. The depth of the hypocenter makes that the earthquake will have been felt in a radius of hundreds of km. Earthquakes with this Magnitude and depth are fairly common in Papua New Guinea.
The biggest city in the area is Rabaul and is located at a distance of 124 km from the epicenter.
Epicenter is at least 50 km out of the coast.
Unless for the always present danger of submarine landslides, this earthquake will not be able to generate a tsunami. NOAA has also confirmed that a oceanwide tsunami (Pacific Ocean) is not posible.

from:    http://earthquake-report.com/2012/07/28/major-earthquakes-list-july-28-2012/

Papua New Guinea Earthquake

 Very strong to massive (deep) earthquake in Papua New Guinea

Last update: April 17, 2012 at 9:38 am by By 

Very strong to massive (deep) earthquake in Papua New Guinea
The earthquake struck at a depth of 202 km is therefore probably harmless.
130 km (81 miles) N (10°) from Lae, New Guinea, PNG
156 km (97 miles) ESE (104°) from Madang, New Guinea, PNG
This earthquake will be felt by millions of people in a very wide area because of the depth of the hypocenter
Update 07:33 UTC : Geofon reports a Magnitude of 6.6 at a depth of 199 km. EMSC a Magnitude of 7.1 at a depth of 190 km.
All data captured so far are confirming the probably harmless character of this earthquake
Update 07:38 UTC : The epicenter of this earthquake is on the coast of  Long Island, an island to the north of Eastern PNG. The epicenter is however of less importance in deep earthquakes as the seismic waves are radiating to the surface from deep within the hot solid earth.
Update 07:41 UTC : There absolutely NO risk for a tsunami for the same reason as described above.
Update 07:42 UTC : Due the energy in this quake USGS expects that 108,000 people will have experienced a moderate MMI V shaking, 2.6 million people a light shaking.

from:   http://earthquake-report.com/2012/04/16/major-earthquakes-list-april-17-2012/

Weekly Active Volcanoes Report

Active volcanoes in the world from 24/08/2011 to 30/08/2011

Last update: September 1, 2011 at 9:43 am by By 

New Activity, Unrest or activity change

BAGANA Bougainville (Papua New Guinea)  – Satellite map – summit elev. 1750 m
Based on analyses of satellite imagery, the Darwin VAAC reported that on 23 August an ash plume from Bagana rose to an altitude of 3 km (10,000 ft) a.s.l. and drifted 93 km SW.
Volcano Information :  Bagana volcano, occupying a remote portion of central Bougainville Island, is one of Melanesia’s youngest and most active volcanoes. Bagana is a massive symmetrical lava cone largely constructed by an accumulation of viscous andesitic lava flows. The entire lava cone could have been constructed in about 300 years at its present rate of lava production. Eruptive activity at Bagana is characterized by non-explosive effusion of viscous lava that maintains a small lava dome in the summit crater, although explosive activity occasionally producing pyroclastic flows also occurs. Lava flows form dramatic, freshly preserved tongue-shaped lobes up to 50-m-thick with prominent levees that descend the volcano’s flanks on all sides.

RANAKAH Flores Island (Indonesia) – Satellite map  – summit elev. 2350 m
CVGHM reported that observers of Anak Ranakah, a lava dome that formed in 1987 at the base of the large older lava dome of Ranakah, noted white plumes rising up to 10 m high during January-24 AugustSeismicity initially increased in December 2010, but increased again during June-August. Based on visual observations and seismic data analyses, CVGHM raised the Alert Level to 2 (on a scale of 1-4).
Volcano Information :  A new lava dome, named Anak Ranakah (Child of Ranakah) was formed in 1987 in an area without previous historical eruptions at the base of the large older lava dome of Gunung Ranakah. An arcuate group of lava domes extending westward from Gunung Ranakah occurs on the outer flanks of the poorly known Poco Leok caldera on western Flores Island. Pocok Mandosawa lava dome, at 2350 m the highest point on the island of Flores, lies west of Anak Ranakah.

TAMBORA Sumbawa Island (Indonesia) – Satellite map –  summit elev. 2850 m
Based on visual observation and seismic data, CVGHM reported an increase in activity at Tambora during the previous five months. Ground-based observers at an observation post in Tambora village noted dense white plumes rising 50-75 m above the caldera rim during April and June, but no plumes during May or JulyIn August dense white plumes rose 20 m above the caldera rim. Seismicity started to increase in April and continued to increase through August. On 30 August the Alert Level was raised to 2 (on a scale of 1-4).
Volcano Information :  The massive Tambora stratovolcano forms the entire 60-km-wide Sanggar Peninsula on northern Sumbawa Island. The largely trachybasaltic-to-trachyandesitic volcano grew to about 4000 m elevation before forming a caldera more than 43,000 years ago. Late-Pleistocene lava flows largely filled the early caldera, after which activity changed to dominantly explosive eruptions during the early Holocene. Tambora was the source of history’s largest explosive eruption, in April 1815. Pyroclastic flows reached the sea on all sides of the peninsula, and heavy tephra fall devastated croplands, causing an estimated 60,000 fatalities. The eruption of an estimated more than 150 cu km of tephra formed a 6-km-wide, 1250-m-deep caldera and produced global climatic effects. Minor lava domes and flows have been extruded on the caldera floor at Tambora during the 19th and 20th centuries.

Gunung Tambora picture courtesy Pirata Alado – http://www.panoramio.com/photo/36914449

PAPANDAYAN Western Java (Indonesia) – Satellite map –  summit elev. 2665 m
On 26 August CVGHM reported that Papandayan showed minor to no changes in recent seismicity, deformation, geochemistry, and visual observations; therefore the Alert Level remained at 3 (on a scale of 1-4). Seismicity remained high, but stable, and was dominated by shallow volcanic earthquakes. Deformation measurements showed no change, and water temperatures in multiple fumarolic areas and lakes remained relatively unchanged. Sulfur dioxide gas emissions decreased from 8 tons per day on 12 August to 6 tons per day on 23 August. Carbon dioxide in the soil at a 1 m depth in multiple areas did not increase. Visitors and residents were advised not to venture within 2 km of the active crater.
Volcano Information :  Papandayan is a complex stratovolcano with four large summit craters, the youngest of which was breached to the NE by collapse during a brief eruption in 1772 and contains active fumarole fields. The broad 1.1-km-wide, flat-floored Alun-Alun crater truncates the summit of Papandayan, and Gunung Puntang to the N gives the volcano a twin-peaked appearance. Several episodes of collapse have given the volcano an irregular profile and produced debris avalanches that have impacted lowland areas beyond the volcano. Since its first historical eruption in 1772, in which a catastrophic debris avalanche destroyed 40 villages, only two small phreatic eruptions have occurred from vents in the NE-flank fumarole field, Kawah Mas.

ETNA Sicily (Italy) – Satellite map – summit elev. 3330 m
Sezione di Catania – Osservatorio Etneo reported that nine days after the previous episode, the New SE Crater produced its twelfth paroxysmal eruptive episode of 2011 during the early morning of 29 August. The event was preceded by an explosion at 2252 on 27 August, and a series of ash emissions from the New SE Crater almost 15 hours later. Weak Strombolian activity visible during the evening on 28 August intensified during the night.
At 0115 on 29 August lava overflowed the rim through a breach in the E crater rim and traveled towards the Valle del Bove. Strombolian activity progressively intensified and two vents within the crater emitted pulsating lava fountains up to 100 m high. The lava fountains again increased in height and a dense plume rose a few kilometers above the summit before drifting toward the SSE. At the same time, a small lava flow issued from the area affected by the collapse of a portion of the cone’s ESE flank during the 20 August paroxysm. At 0220 the SE flank of the cone fractured and exposed a line of new eruptive vents down to the base of the cone that produced lava fountains. A broad lava flow fed by the vents descended into the Valle del Bove, somewhat to the S of the lava flow emitted earlier during the episode. The lava fountaining from the vents within the crater turned into ash emission just after 0220, whereas the lowest vent on the new eruptive fracture continued to produce incandescent jets until 0250. Ash emission continued at a diminishing rate until about 0315.
Read also :  Another beautiful eruption of Mt Etna (Italy) on August 29 2011 + videos
Volcano Information :  Mount Etna, towering above Catania, Sicily’s second largest city, has one of the world’s longest documented records of historical volcanism, dating back to 1500 BC. Historical lava flows cover much of the surface of this massive basaltic stratovolcano, the highest and most voluminous in Italy. Two styles of eruptive activity typically occur at Etna. Persistent explosive eruptions, sometimes with minor lava emissions, take place from one or more of the three prominent summit craters, the Central Crater, NE Crater, and SE Crater. Flank eruptions, typically with higher effusion rates, occur less frequently and originate from fissures that open progressively downward from near the summit. A period of more intense intermittent explosive eruptions from Etna’s summit craters began in 1995. The active volcano is monitored by the Instituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Volcanologia (INGV) in Catania.

KILAUEA Hawaii (USA) – satellite map – summit elev. 1222 m
During 24-30 August, HVO reported that the level of the lava-lake surface in the deep pit within Kilauea’s Halema’uma’u crater periodically fluctuated but remained below the inner ledge 75 m below the crater floor. At Pu’u ‘O’o’ crater, lava from sources on the E and S portions of the crater floor fed a lava lake that was formed during 25-26 August. A new source opened at the W edge of the crater floor during 29-30 August, and lava quickly spread N and S along the base of the W crater wall.
Volcano Information :  Kilauea, one of five coalescing volcanoes that comprise the island of Hawaii, is one of the world’s most active volcanoes. Eruptions at Kilauea originate primarily from the summit caldera or along one of the lengthy E and SW rift zones that extend from the caldera to the sea. About 90% of the surface of Kilauea is formed of lava flows less than about 1,100 years old; 70% of the volcano’s surface is younger than 600 years. A long-term eruption from the East rift zone that began in 1983 has produced lava flows covering more than 100 sq km, destroying nearly 200 houses and adding new coastline to the island.

for more information, go to:    http://earthquake-report.com/2011/09/01/active-volcanoes-in-the-world-from-24082011-to-30082011/