Exploding Solar Filament

Check out the video —   Beautiful!

FILAMENT ERUPTION: Solar activity is low, but not zero. During the early hours of Feb. 13th, a magnetic filament erupted near the sun’s SW limb. NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded the blast (click to set the scene in motion):

The extreme UV movie shows the filament flinging itself into space followed by the formation of a “canyon of fire” marking the channel formerly occupied by the filament. The glowing walls of the canyon are formed in a process closely related to that of arcade loops, which appear after many solar flares.

As erupting magnetic filaments often do, this one launched a coronal mass ejection (CME) into space. NASA’s STEREO-A spacecraft spotted the expanding cloud, which does not appear to be heading for Earth or any other planet.

fr/spaceweather.com

Close Encounter with Asteroid 2/15

Record Setting Asteroid Flyby

Jan. 28, 2013:  Talk about a close shave. On Feb. 15th an asteroid about half the size of a football field will fly past Earth only 17,200 miles above our planet’s surface. There’s no danger of a collision, but the space rock, designated 2012 DA14, has NASA’s attention.

“This is a record-setting close approach,” says Don Yeomans of NASA’s Near Earth Object Program at JPL. “Since regular sky surveys began in the 1990s, we’ve never seen an object this big get so close to Earth.”

2012 DA (splash)

A new ScienceCast video previews the close flyby of asteroid 2012 DA14. Play it

Earth’s neighborhood is littered with asteroids of all shapes and sizes, ranging from fragments smaller than beach balls to mountainous rocks many kilometers wide. Many of these objects hail from the asteroid belt, while others may be corpses of long-dead, burnt out comets. NASA’s Near-Earth Object Program helps find and keep track of them, especially the ones that come close to our planet.

2012 DA14 is a fairly typical near-Earth asteroid. It measures some 50 meters wide, neither very large nor very small, and is probably made of stone, as opposed to metal or ice.  Yeomans estimates that an asteroid like 2012 DA14 flies past Earth, on average, every 40 years, yet actually strikes our planet only every 1200 years or so.

The impact of a 50-meter asteroid is not cataclysmic–unless you happen to be underneath it. Yeomans points out that a similar-sized object formed the mile wide Meteor Crater in Arizona when it struck about 50,000 years ago. “That asteroid was made of iron,” he says, “which made it an especially potent impactor.” Also, in 1908, something about the size of 2012 DA14 exploded in the atmosphere above Siberia, leveling hundreds of square miles of forest. Researchers are still studying the “Tunguska Event” for clues to the impacting object.

“2012 DA14 will definitely not hit Earth,” emphasizes Yeomans. “The orbit of the asteroid is known well enough to rule out an impact.”

2012 DA (flyby, 200px)

A schematic diagram of the Feb 15th flyby. More

Even so, it will come interestingly close. NASA radars will be monitoring the space rock as it approaches Earth closer than many man-made satellites. Yeomans says the asteroid will thread the gap between low-Earth orbit, where the ISS and many Earth observation satellites are located, and the higher belt of geosynchronous satellites, which provide weather data and telecommunications.

“The odds of an impact with a satellite are extremely remote,” he says. Almost nothing orbits where DA14 will pass the Earth.

NASA’s Goldstone radar in the Mojave Desert is scheduled to ping 2012 DA14 almost every day from Feb. 16th through 20th. The echoes will not only pinpoint the orbit of the asteroid, allowing researchers to better predict future encounters, but also reveal physical characteristics such as size, spin, and reflectivity. A key outcome of the observing campaign will be a 3D radar map showing the space rock from all sides.

During the hours around closest approach, the asteroid will brighten until it resembles a star of 8th magnitude. Theoretically, that’s an easy target for backyard telescopes. The problem, points out Yeomans, is speed. “The asteroid will be racing across the sky, moving almost a full degree (or twice the width of a full Moon) every minute. That’s going to be hard to track.” Only the most experienced amateur astronomers are likely to succeed.

Those who do might experience a tiny chill when they look at their images. That really was a close shave.

from:    http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2013/28jan_2012da/

Photons, Particles, Waves…

Quantum shadows: The mystery of matter deepen

96703210.lowres-1

Physics & Math
Forget particles and waves. When it comes to the true guise of material reality, what’s out there is beyond our grasp…

“IF YOU haven’t found something strange during the day,” John Archibald Wheeler is said to have remarked, “It hasn’t been much of a day.” But then, strangeness was Wheeler’s stock in trade. As one of the 20th century’s leading theoretical physicists, the things he dealt with every day – the space- and time-bending warpings of Einstein’s relativity, the fuzzy uncertainties and improbabilities of quantum physics were the sort to boggle the minds of most mere mortals.

From: New Scientist: 07 January 2013 by Anil Ananthaswamy
Preview of the full article:  http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg21728971.600-quantum-shadows-the-mystery-of-matter-deepens.html?full=true

Even so, one day in 1978 must have been quite something for Wheeler. That was when he first lit on a very strange idea to test how photons might be expected to behave. Half a century earlier, quantum physics had produced the startling insight that light – everything in the quantum world, in fact – has a dual character. Sometimes it acts as if made of discrete chunks of stuff that follows well-defined paths – particles. At other times, it adopts the more amorphous, space-filling guise of a wave. That led to a question that exercised Wheeler: what makes it show which side, and when?

It took a while for the test Wheeler devised to become experimental reality. When it finally did, the answer that came was strange enough. Now, though, the experiment has been redone with a further quantum twist. And it’s probably time to abandon any pretence of understanding the outcome. Forget waves, forget particles, forget anything that’s one or the other. Reality is far more inscrutable than that.

For centuries, light has illuminated our ideas of the material world. The debate about its nature, wave or particle, goes back to the philosophers of ancient Greece, and has featured luminaries such as Newton, Descartes and Einstein on one side or the other. By the dawn of the 20th century, the result was best described as a scoring draw, with both sides having gathered significant support (see diagram <http://www.newscientist.com/data/images/archive/2897/28971601.jpg> ).

The central mystery
Quantum physics broke the deadlock essentially by saying that everyone was right. The apparent proof comes with a quantum version of an experiment first performed by the English physicist Thomas Young in 1803, ironically to support the wave theory of light. Young shone light on a screen with two tiny, parallel slits in it. On another screen a distance behind the first, he saw alternating vertical fringes of light and dark that seemed incontrovertible proof of light’s wave character. Water waves passing through two narrow openings in a sea wall diffract and interfere in a similar way, sometimes constructively amplifying and sometimes destructively reducing each other beyond.

The strangeness starts when you lower the light intensity to the point at which only a single photon enters the experimental setup at any one time. In 1905, Einstein had strongly suggested that a single photon is a particle, and indeed, place a detector at one or other of the slits and you hear the beep, beep of single particles hitting it. But remove the particle detector and place a light-collecting screen – a kind of long-exposure camera – a distance behind the slits, and the same pattern of light and shade that Young had observed slowly builds up. It is as if each photon is an interfering wave that passes simultaneously through both slits. The same happens with other quantum particles: electrons, neutrons, atoms and even 60-carbon-atom buckyballs.

For Niels Bohr, the great Danish pioneer of quantum physics, this “central mystery” was nothing less than a principle of the new theory, one he called the complementarity principle. Quantum objects such as photons simply have complementary properties – being a wave, being a particle – that can be observed singly, but never together. And what determines which guise an object adopts? Bohr laid out a first outline of an answer at a grand gathering of physicists at the Istituto Carducci on the shores of Lake Como in Italy in September 1927: we do. Look for a particle and you’ll see a particle. Look for a wave and that’s what you’ll see.

The idea that physical reality depends on an observer’s whim bothered the likes of Einstein no end. “No reasonable definition of reality could be expected to permit this,” he huffed in a famous paper he co-authored in 1935 with Boris Podolsky and Nathan Rosen (Physical Review, vol 47, p 777 <http://prola.aps.org/abstract/PR/v47/i10/p777_1> ). Einstein favoured an alternative idea of an underlying but as-yet inaccessible layer of reality </article/mg20928011.100-reality-check-closing-the-quantum-loopholes.html>  containing hidden influences that “told” the photon about the nature of the experiment to be performed on it, changing its behaviour accordingly.

There is more to this than wild conspiracy theory. Imagine an explosion that sends two pieces of shrapnel in opposite directions. The explosion obeys the law of conservation of momentum, and so the mass and velocity of the pieces are correlated. But if you know nothing of momentum conservation, you could easily think that measuring the properties of one fragment determines the properties of the other, rather than both being set at the point of explosion. Was a similar hidden reality responsible for goings on in the quantum world?

This is where Wheeler’s thought experiment came in. Its aim was to settle the issue of what told the photon how to behave, using an updated version of the double-slit experiment. Photons would be given a choice of two paths to travel in a device known as an interferometer. At the far end of the interferometer, the two paths would either be recombined or not. If the photons were measured without this recombination – an “open” interferometer – that was the equivalent of putting a detector at one or other of the slits. You would expect to see single particles travelling down one path or the other, all things being equal, splitting 50:50 between the two (see “Neither one nor the other”).

Alternatively, the photons could be measured after recombination – a “closed” setting. In this case, what you expect to see depends on the lengths of the two paths through the interferometer. If both are exactly the same length, the peaks of the waves arrive at the same time at one of the detectors and interfere constructively there: 100 per cent of the hits appear on that detector and none on the other. By altering one path length, however, you can bring the wave fronts out of sync and vary the interference at the first detector from completely constructive to totally destructive, so that it receives no hits. This is equivalent to scanning across from a bright fringe to a dark one on the interference screen of the double slit experiment.

Wheeler’s twist to the experiment was to delay choosing how to measure the photon – whether in an open or a closed setting – until after it had entered the interferometer. That way, the photon couldn’t possibly “know” whether to take one or both paths, and so if it was supposed to act as a particle or a wave.
Or could it?

It was almost three decades before the experiment could actually be done. To make sure there was no hidden influence of the kind favoured by Einstein, you needed a very large interferometer, so that no word of the choice of measurement could reach the photon, even if the information travelled at light speed (anything faster was expressly forbidden by Einstein’s own theory of relativity). In 2007, Alain Aspect <http://www.lcf.institutoptique.fr/Groupes-de-recherche/Optique-atomique/Membres/Permanents/Alain-Aspect>  and his team at the Institute of Optics in Palaiseau, France, built an interferometer with arms 48 metres long. The result? Whenever they chose at the last instant to measure the photons with a closed interferometer, they saw wave interference. Whenever they chose an open interferometer, they saw particles (Science, vol 315, p 966 <http://www.sciencemag.org/content/315/5814/966.abstract> ).

There was no getting round it. Wave and particle behaviours really do seem to be two sides of one coin representing material reality. As to which way it flips – well, you decide. “Isn’t that beautiful?” said Aspect in a public lecture at the Physics@FOM conference <http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_detailpage&v=6dvQFXIny1w#t=3611s>  in Veldhoven, the Netherlands, last year. “I think there is no other conclusion to draw from this experiment.”

Unless, of course, you make things even stranger. In December 2011, Radu Ionicioiu <http://www.researchgate.net/profile/Radu_Ionicioiu/>  of the Institute for Quantum Computing in Waterloo, Canada, and Daniel Terno <http://web.science.mq.edu.au/directory/listing/person.htm?id=dterno>  of Macquarie University in Sydney, Australia, proposed extending Wheeler’s thought experiment (Physical Review Letters, vol 107, p 230406 <http://arxiv.org/abs/1103.0117> ). Their new twist was that the decision of how to measure the photon, as a particle or as a wave, should itself be a quantum-mechanical one – not a definite yes or no, but an indeterminate, fuzzy yes-and-no.

Infinite shades of grey
There is a way to do that: you use light to control the detector designed to probe the light. First you prepare a “control” photon in a quantum superposition of two states. One of these states switches the interferometer to an open, particle-measuring state, and the other to a closed, wave-measuring state. Crucially, you only measure the state of the control photon after you have measured the experimental “system” photon passing through the interferometer. As far as you are concerned, the system photon is passing through an interferometer that is both open and closed; you don’t know whether you are setting out to measure wave or particle behaviour (see diagram <http://www.newscientist.com/data/images/archive/2897/28971602.jpg> ). So what do you measure?

This time, it took only a few months for the experimentalists to catch up with the theorists. But when three independent groups, led by Chuan-Feng Li <http://lqcc.ustc.edu.cn/news/path/cfli/cfli-eng.html>  at the University of Science and Technology of China in Hefei, Jeremy O’Brien <http://www.phy.bris.ac.uk/people/jeremy_obrien/>  at the University of Bristol, UK, and Sébastien Tanzilli <http://lpmc.unice.fr/spip.php?article55〈=fr>  at the University of Nice, France, performed different versions of the experiment last year, the results were unnerving – even to those who consider themselves inured to the weirdnesses of quantum physics (Nature Photonics, vol 6, p 600 <http://www.nature.com/nphoton/journal/v6/n9/full/nphoton.2012.179.html> ; Science, vol 338, p 634 <http://www.sciencemag.org/content/338/6107/634>  and p 637 <http://www.sciencemag.org/content/338/6107/637> ).

The answer is, what you see depends on the control photon. If you look at the measurements of the system photons without ever checking the corresponding measurements of the control photons – so never knowing what measurement you made – you see a distribution of hits on the two detectors that is the signature neither of particles or waves, but some ambiguous mixture of the two. If particle is black and wave is white, this is some shade of grey.

Do the same, but this time looking at the control photon measurements as well, and it is like putting on a pair of magic specs. Grey separates clearly into black and white. You can pick out the system photons that passed through an open interferometer, and they are clearly particles. Those that passed through a closed interferometer look like waves. The photons reveal their colours in accordance with the kind of measurement the control photon said you made.

It gets yet stranger. Quantum mechanics allows you to put the control photon not just in an equal mix of two states, but in varying proportions. That is equivalent to an interferometer setting that is, say, open 70 per cent of the time and closed 30 per cent of the time. If we measure a bunch of system photons in this configuration, and look at the data before putting on our magic specs, we see an ambiguous signature once again – but this time, its shade of grey has shifted closer to particle black than wave white. Put on the specs, though, and we see system photons 70 per cent of which have seemingly – but clearly – behaved as particles, while the remaining 30 per cent acted as waves.

In one sense, the results leave Bohr’s side of the argument about quantum reality stronger. There is a tight correlation between the state of the control photon, representing the nature of the measurement, and the system photon, representing the state of reality. Make for more of a particle measurement, and you’ll measure something more like a particle, and vice versa. As in earlier experiments, a hidden-reality theory à la Einstein cannot explain the results.

But in another sense, we are left grappling for words. “Our experiment defies the conventional boundaries set by the complementarity principle,” says Li. Ionicioiu agrees. “Complementarity shows only the two ends, black and white, of a spectrum between particle and wave,” he says. “This experiment allows us to see the shades of grey in between.”

So, has Bohr been proved wrong too? Johannes Kofler <http://www.mpq.mpg.de/~jkofler/index.html>  of the Max Planck Institute of Quantum Optics in Garching, Germany, doesn’t think so. “I’m really very, very sure that he would be perfectly fine with all these experiments,” he says. The complementarity principle is at the heart of the “Copenhagen interpretation <http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/qm-copenhagen/> ” of quantum mechanics, named after Bohr’s home city, which essentially argues that we see a conflict in such results only because our minds, attuned as they are to a macroscopic, classically functioning cosmos, are not equipped to deal with the quantum world. “The Copenhagen interpretation, from the very beginning, didn’t demand any ‘realistic’ world view of the quantum system,” says Kofler.

The outcomes of the latest experiments simply bear that out. “Particle” and “wave” are concepts we latch on to because they seem to correspond to guises of matter in our familiar, classical world. But attempting to describe true quantum reality with these or any other black-or-white concepts is an enterprise doomed to failure.

It’s a notion that takes us straight back into Plato’s cave, says Ionicioiu. In the ancient Greek philosopher’s allegory <http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/plato-metaphysics/#13> , prisoners shackled in a cave see only shadows of objects cast onto a cave wall, never the object itself. A cylinder, for example, might be seen as a rectangle or a circle, or anything in between. Something similar is happening with the basic building blocks of reality. “Sometimes the photon looks like a wave, sometimes like a particle, or like anything in between,” says Ionicioiu. In reality, though, it is none of these things. What it is, though, we do not have the words or the concepts to express.

Now that is strange. And for quantum physicists, all in a day’s work.

Anil Ananthaswamy is a consultant for New Scientist

from:    http://www.newrealities.com/index.php/articles-on-new-sciences/item/2655-quantum-shadows-the-mystery-of-matter-deepens

Painting lke Picasso

Picasso’s Genius Revealed: He Used Common House Paint

Clara Moskowitz, LiveScience senior writer
Date: 08 February 2013
Picasso's Red Armchair
Among the Picasso paintings in the Art Institute of Chicago collection, The Red Armchair is the most emblematic of his Ripolin usage and is the painting that was examined with APS X-rays at Argonne National Laboratory.
CREDIT: Courtesy Art Institute of Chicago, Gift of Mr. and Mrs. Daniel Saidenberg (AIC 1957.72) © Estate of Pablo Picasso / Artists Rights Society (ARS), New York

Pablo Picasso, famous for pushing the boundaries of art with cubism, also broke with convention when it came to paint, new research shows. X-ray analysis of some of the painter’s masterworks solves a long-standing mystery about the type of paint the artist used on his canvases, revealing it to be basic house paint.

Art scholars had long suspected Picasso was one of the first master artists to employ house paint, rather than traditional artists’ paint, to achieve a glossy style that hid brush marks. There was no absolute confirmation of this, however, until now.

Physicists at Argonne National Laboratory in Lemont, Ill., trained their hard X-ray nanoprobe at Picasso’s painting “The Red Armchair,” completed in 1931, which they borrowed from the Art Institute of Chicago. The nanoprobe instrument can “see” details down to the level of individual pigment particles, revealing the arrangement of particular chemical elements in the paint.

The analysis showed that Picasso used enamel paint that matches the precise chemical composition of the first brand of commercial house paint, called Ripolin. The researchers were able to compare the painting’s pigment with those of paints available at the time by analyzing decades-old paint samples bought on eBay.

What’s more, the detailed study, which used X-rays to probe the painting’s pigment down to the scale of 30 nanometers (a sheet of copier paper is 100,000 nanometers thick), was able to pinpoint the manufacturing region where the paint was made by studying its particular impurities.

“The nanoprobe at the [Advanced Photon Source X-ray facility and the Center for Nanoscale Materials] allowed unprecedented visualization of information about chemical composition within a singe grain of paint pigment, significantly reducing doubt that Picasso used common house paint in some of his most famous works,” one of the research leaders, Argonne’s Volker Rose, said in a statement.

Art scholars think Picasso experimented with Ripolin to achieve a different effect than would’ve been possible with traditional oil paints, which dry slowly and can be heavily blended. In contrast, house paint dries quickly and leaves effects like marbling, muted edges, and even drips of paint. Still, experts couldn’t be sure house paint was the key to Picasso’s look without proof.

“Appearances can deceive, so this is where art can benefit from scientific research,” said Francesca Casadio, senior conservator scientist at the Art Institute of Chicago. “We needed to reverse-engineer the paint so that we could figure out if there was a fingerprint that we could then go look for in the pictures around the world that are suspected to be painted with Ripolin, the first commercial brand of house paint.”

The scientists detailed their findings in a paper published last month in the journal Applied Physics A: Materials Science & Processing.

from:    http://www.livescience.com/26963-picasso-house-paint-x-rays.html

Naming Nemo, th Snowstorm

Why the Snowstorm Is Named ‘Nemo’

Douglas Main, OurAmazingPlanet Staff Writer
Date: 08 February 2013
storm from space, satellite storm photo, nor'easter from space, satellite nor'easter photo
 This image, captured at 9:01 a.m. EST on Feb. 8 by NOAA’s GOES-13 satellite, shows clouds associated with the western frontal system stretching from Canada through the Ohio and Tennessee valleys, into the Gulf of Mexico.
CREDIT: NASA.

“You must prepare now!” scream headlines from websites such as the Weather Channel. The reason: the snowstorm dubbed “Nemo” is bearing down on the Northeast.

But why this name? Isn’t it more likely to bring to mind the Disney-Pixar movie “Finding Nemo” than inspire storm preparation? And why name a storm anyway? The National Weather Service (NWS) doesn’t name snowstorms, only hurricanes and tropical storms, but the Weather Channel has decided to name “notable” winter storms this year.

Here are the justifications for naming the storm, according to the Weather Channel (TWC):

  • Naming a storm raises awareness.
  • Attaching a name makes it much easier to follow a weather system’s progress.
  • A storm with a name takes on a personality all its own, which adds to awareness.
  • In today’s social media world, a name makes it much easier to reference [a storm] in communication.
  • A named storm is easier to remember and refer to in the future.

“The fact is, a storm with a name is easier to follow, which will mean fewer surprises and more preparation,” the network added.

However, meteorologists are generally not impressed with this particular designation; weather expert Jason Samenow with the Washington Post has collected the opinions of several of the scientists, and the reactions are generally negative. Primarily, meteorologists criticize the unilateral way the network made the decision, apparently never consulting with the NWS or professional organizations. Several respondents said this action will confuse the public and the media.

“I think the preemptive decision by TWC to begin naming winter storms is, at best, a poor decision by a critical source of weather information and, at worst … a gimmick,” writes WJLA meteorologist Bob Ryan on his network’s website. “I call this a ‘preemptive’ decision because there was, from everything I have learned, no coordination of this decision to name winter storms with the National Weather Service or any of the professional groups.”

The NWS chooses not to name snowstorms because, unlike hurricanes and tropical storms, they aren’t well-defined storms following a path that can be tracked, among other reasons, said Jeff Weber, a climatologist at the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo.

Weber added that he understands the rationale for the naming, and that publicity was likely a prime motivation. “It makes sense to keep the public informed, but I must admit I questioned the wisdom of having a commercial organization doing the naming,” he told OurAmazingPlanet.

The name Nemo isn’t meant to refer to “Finding Nemo,” Bryan Norcross, a TWC meteorologist who helped conceive the storm-naming last year, told the New York Times. Nemo is Latin for “no one” or “no man.” It also refers to Captain Nemo, the Jules Verne character from “Twenty Thousand Leagues Under the Sea.”

“Captain Nemo was a pretty tough, fierce guy,” Norcross said.

from:    http://www.livescience.com/26979-nemo-name-explainer.html

 

ANomalous Snow Events

Strange Snowfalls

Published: 8:54 PM GMT on February 04, 2013

Strange Snowfalls

Although there were no spectacular snowstorms in the contiguous U.S. this past January there were a couple of interesting snow events. On January 20th the residents of Vermont were amazed to find their yards and fields covered with large snow rollers. A week later, on January 27th, giant snowflakes “the size of cotton balls” were observed near Moline, Illinois. Here is a summary of some strange snow events.

A Vermont TV station, WCAX, reports on the snow roller event that occurred in Vermont on January 20, 2013.Video still from WCAX and rebroadcast on CNN and The Weather Channel.

Snow Rollers

This rare and interesting phenomenon occurs when surface conditions are just right following a fresh snowfall. The surface snow must be light and sticky but not too wet. Strong, gusty winds in excess of 30 mph must then ‘scoop’ the fluffy snow into small balls on the surface and then blow the balls along forming small barrels. The stronger the winds and deeper the snow, the larger the barrels or ‘rollers’ become. Of course, the process is the same as making a snowman. Reports of snow rollers up to five or six feet in diameter (the “size of rolled hay bays”) have been reported in the Great Plains but cannot be substantiated.

Perhaps the largest snow rollers ever photographed were these barrels some 20” in diameter and three feet long that formed in Vermont’s Lamoille River Valley in February 1973. Photo by Ronald L. Hagerman.

For some reason New England and especially Vermont seem to be where snow roller formation is most often observed, as was the case in January. The event received national media attention being widespread and photographed by thousands in the Mad River Valley area and towns of Plainfield, Craftsbury, and St. Albans.

A beautiful shot of the recent snow roller event taken near Plainfield, Vermont in January. Photo by Janet Steward.

Giant Snowflakes

Reports of large snowflakes of 2” in diameter, as observed near Moline, Illinois on January 27th, are relatively common. Of course, these are not individual snowflakes but rather aggregates of entwined snowflakes. These aggregates normally occur when the temperature at the surface is near or just above freezing causing the wet flakes to bump into and stick to one another as they fall through the sky. Sleet often accompanies these giant flakes. The wind must be near calm in order for the aggregates to stick together.

A couple of close up images of large snowflake aggregates. One can see how these are composed of many different individual snowflakes entwined with one another. Top photo taken by Ruth Zschomler in Vancouver, Washington in 2010. Bottom photo by Thomas Niziol, the Weather Channel’s Winter Weather Expert.

Some truly extraordinary giant aggregates up to 5” (14 cm) in diameter and even larger have been verifiably observed. On January 24, 1894 ‘snowflakes’ of this size were observed in Nashville, Tennessee. In Berlin, Germany flakes up to 4” in diameter were seen on January 10, 1915. A weather observer noted:

On this occasion a large number of snowflakes had diameters of 8 to 10 centimeters (3-4″), and these giant flakes fell with both a greater speed and more definite paths than did the smaller flakes. They did not have the complicated, fluttering flight of the latter. In form the great flakes resembled a round oval dish with its edges bent upward. During flight they rocked to this side or that, but none were observed to turn quite over so that the concave side became directed downward.

There is a report from Fort Keogh, Montana of snowflake aggregates reaching a diameter of 15”/38 cm (the “size of sauce pans”) on January 28, 1887. If true, these would be the largest such ever recorded.

Giant snowflakes up to 2-3” in diameter blanket Kashgar, China during the winter of 2001. Photo by Michael Yamashita.

Colored Snow

I devoted a few paragraphs of my book ‘Extreme Weather: A Guide and Record Book’ to this phenomena and quote myself herein:

In Dr. Seuss’s The Cat in the Hat Comes Back, the Cat and his Hat’s mischievous inhabitants, Little Cats A, B, and C make a terrible pink mess in the home of two children. The Cat and the Little Cats manage to get the pink stains out of the house—and into the snow, which then becomes bright pink.

Preposterous as it may seem, it has, on very rare occasions, snowed pink. Not only pink but other unnatural shades as well. Pink snow was reported to have fallen in Durango, Colorado on January 9, 1932. Red snow coated the Alps on October 14, 1775, and again on February 3–4, 1852, over a wide area from Bergamo, Italy, to Zurich, Switzerland. Brown snow was reported on Mt. Hotham in the Snowy Mountains of Victoria, Australia, in July of 1935.

In the above cases, the coloring factor in the snow was dust which had risen into the atmosphere during desert dust storms. The dust that mixed with the snow in Europe was carried there by winds from the Sahara; the coloring in Australia originated in its interior desert.

Black and blue snowfalls have been reported on several occasions in New York State. The N.Y. State Weather Service report for April 1889 records black snow falling over Lewis, Herkimer, Franklin, and Essex Counties. Upon examination, the snow was found to contain a “sediment consisting principally of finely divided earth or vegetable mold.”

A blue snowfall was reported in many towns of western New York State during January of 1955. Yellow snow that fell on South Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, on March 16, 1879, was found to contain pollen from pine trees that were in bloom throughout states further to the south. Unfortunately, there are no known verifiable photographs documenting these rare and unusual events.

This photograph purports to be of a colored snowfall that occurred in Saaksjarvi, Finland on January 16, 2010. However, it is difficult to tell if this is actually colored snow or just a lighting effect. Photo from Flikr page by ArtemFinland.

Christopher C. Burt
Weather Historian

from:    http://www.wunderground.com/blog/weatherhistorian/article.html

Fish Oil’s Benefits Questioned

The Sad Story of Fish Oil and Small Sample Sizes

—By

| Wed Jan. 16, 2013 10:22 AM PST

Keith Humphreys passes along the sad story today of fish oil’s journey from miracle cure to nothingburger. The chart below shows the evolution of research on Omega-3 supplements over the past 17 years, where a small “relative risk” number indicates a beneficial effect and 1.0 indicates no effect at all:

Humphreys explains how this happens:

When there were only a little data available, fish oil looked like manna from heaven. But with new studies and more data, the beneficial effect has shrunk to almost nothing. The current best estimate of relative risk (bottom row of table) is 0.96, barely below 1.0. And the “confidence interval” (the range of numbers in parentheses), which is an indicator of how reliable the current estimate is, actually runs to a value slightly greater than 1.0.

Why does this happen? Small studies do a poor job of reliably estimating the effects of medical interventions. For a small study (such as Sacks’ and Leng’s early work in the top two rows of the table) to get published, it needs to show a big effect — no one is interested in a small study that found nothing. It is likely that many other small studies of fish oil pills were conducted at the same time of Sacks’ and Leng’s, found no benefit and were therefore not published. But by the play of chance, it was only a matter of time before a small study found what looked like a big enough effect to warrant publication in a journal editor’s eyes.

Caveat lector. Don’t believe everything you read, especially if there’s only one study and it has a small sample size. It’s still possible that fish oil has a slight beneficial effect, but it’s unlikely. Spend your money on something else.

from:    http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2013/01/sad-story-fish-oil-and-small-sample-sizes

The NRA’s Governing Board

EXCLUSIVE: Unmasking the NRA’s Inner Circle

The NRA’s shadowy leaders include the CEO who sells Bushmaster assault rifles and a top director who lives in Newtown.

—By

| Wed Jan. 16, 2013
NRA logo

The resurgent debate over gun control has put a spotlight on the hardline leaders of the National Rifle Association. In the wake of the massacre in Newtown, Connecticut, executive vice president Wayne LaPierre delivered a full-throated rejection of gun control and called for more firearms in schools, while David Keene, the group’s president, predicted the failure of any new assault weapons ban introduced in Congress. The two NRA figureheads purported to speak for more than 4 million American gun owners, though the group’s membership may in fact be smaller.

But whatever its true size, today’s NRA, widely considered to be disproportionately influential in politics, operates more like a corporation or politburo than a typical nonprofit or lobbying organization. Its 76 board directors and 10 executive officers keep a grip on power through elections in which ordinary grassroots members appear to have little say.The NRA leadership is known as much for its organizational secrecy as its absolutist interpretation of the Second Amendment. That may be why, until now, little has been known about some of its most powerful insiders. They sit on the NRA board of directors’ nine-member Nominating Committee, which, despite ballots distributed annually to legions of NRA members, closely controls who can be elected to the NRA board. Mother Jones has uncovered key details about the current Nominating Committee:

  • George K. Kollitides II, the chief executive of Freedom Group—which made the Bushmaster military-style assault rifle used in the Newtown massacre—was appointed as a member of the current committee, despite his failed attempts to be elected to the NRA board.
  • The current head of the Nominating Committee, Patricia A. Clark, lives in Newtown, just a couple of miles from the school where 20 young children and six adults were massacred.
  • While longtime NRA members and election watchers have reported that the Nominating Committee consists entirely of elected board members, the organization’s bylaws allow for three members to be appointed from outside the NRA board—as three of its current members were.
  • Two additional outsiders appointed to the current Nominating Committee include Roger K. Bain, a licensed federal firearms dealer in Pennsylvania, and Riley B. Smith, a timber company executive in Alabama.

Long before Newtown, and even before the bloodbath at a movie theater in Aurora, Colorado, a survey conducted in May 2012 by Republican pollster Frank Luntz found that most gun owners, including current and former members of the NRA, favor tighter gun regulations such as universal criminal background checks. And according to an ABC/Washington Post poll published on Tuesday, 86 percent of gun-owning households support a law requiring background checks at gun shows to close the so-called “loophole.” So what motivates NRA leaders to remain so out of step with their constituency, flatly rejecting any discussion of legal reform?

One answer may be their ties to the $11.7 billion gun industry. Freedom Group’s Kollitides ran for the NRA board in 2009 but lost, despite an endorsement from gun manufacturer Remington. “His campaign didn’t sit well with some gun bloggers, who viewed him as an industry interloper,” according to a 2011 report in the New York Times.

George Kollitides

From George Kollitides’ 2009 campaign for the NRA board.

It remains unclear who among the NRA leadership tapped Kollitides, Bain, and Smith, to be on the current Nominating Committee.

“I was appointed,” Bain confirmed in a brief phone call. “I am not a board member,” he said, declining to say who appointed him. “This conversation is over.”

Calls to Kollitides and Smith seeking comment were not returned. The NRA declined to respond to multiple requests for comment regarding its board members and other organizational details. However, one NRA official, who declined to be named, said that Kollitides “has never been on the board, although he has run several times.”

But that need not stand in the way. “You’ve got a good friend you want to get more involved, and you nominate him,” a current long-serving NRA board member told Mother Jones.

According to this document obtained by Mother Jones, outsiders appointed to the current Nominating Committee include George K. Kollitides, Roger K. Bain, and Riley B. Smith.

Back in August 2011, the NRA Nominating Committee elected Clark, a board member since 1999, as its chair. Clark, a competitive sport shooter and an instructor in the Eddie Eagle GunSafe program heralded by LaPierre in his recent media blitz, is a longtime resident of Newtown. Her home is about a 10-minute drive by car from Sandy Hook Elementary School and about a 15-minute drive from the former home of Nancy Lanza, who was also murdered by her son on December 14 after he got possession of her semiautomatic assault rifle and other legally registered weapons.

Reached by phone on December 29 in nearby Bridgeport, Connecticut, where she works in the health care industry, Clark confirmed her NRA leadership role. When asked if she knew any of the victims or their families in Newtown, she replied, “This is a hard time for me. I am not really interested in giving an interview at this time.”

Unlike the NRA’s paid executive officers, who earn big money for their work, Clark’s directorship is unpaid. (LaPierre took home $960,000 from the NRA and related organizations in 2010; Kayne B. Robinson, the executive director of general operations, earned more than $1 million.)

Elections for the NRA board, which oversees the organization’s nearly 800 employees and more than $200 million in annual revenues, occur annually for 25 directors, who serve three-year terms. The vote typically involves less than 7 percent of NRA members, according to past NRA ballot results and pro-NRA bloggers. A low election turnout among members is not uncommon among nonprofit groups, but how a candidate gets his or her name on the ballot is key. According to an NRA supporter and self-proclaimed Second Amendment activist in Pennsylvania who blogs under the handle “Sebastian,” this occurs one of two ways: It requires a grassroots petition by members, which rarely gets a candidate on the ballot, or a candidate must be included on the official slate endorsed by the Nominating Committee.

“Read the bios in your ballot and you’ll see that almost all were nominated by the nominating committee,” complained “Pecos Bill” from Illinois last January in one pro-gun-rights forum. “Seems the NRA, fine organization that it is, is being run like a modern corporation and the ‘good ol’ boys’ are keeping themselves in power.”

to read more, names of the board members, etc, go to:    http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2013/01/nra-board-newtown-bushmaster

Solar Flare Possibility

CHANCE OF FLARES: So far today, solar activity is low. However, that could be the calm before the storm. The magnetic field of big sunspot AR1654 has grown more complex. It is now classified as a ‘beta-gamma-delta’ magnetic field, which means it harbors energy for X-class eruptions. Solar flare alerts: text, voice.

If there is a flare today, the blast would be Earth-directed. This sunrise shot, taken at dawn on Jan. 16th by Jan Koeman on the bank of the Westerschelde River in the Netherlands, shows how AR1654 (circled) is almost directly facing our planet:

“Sunspot complex AR1654-AR1656 was clearly visible through the clouds and mist,” says Koeman. “It was a wonderful sunrise even at -8 degrees celsius.”

fr/spaceweather.com