Winter Forecast fr/The Weather Space

2013 – 2014 Winter Forecast Released From TheWeatherSpace.com

tws1314seasonmonth

NOTE: The ONLY Way Above Normal is CALIFORNIA for Precipitation … It is not the orange color in the Eastern USA … Orange is Below normal precip!

NOTE: This is the AVERAGE of all three months, Dec/Jan/Feb …

Dec – nationwide warm
Jan – Warm west, cold east
Feb – nationwide warm

Discussion:  Storm pattern for this does not begin till December so anything before this does not count.  During the main winter season of December, January, and February we will see most of he USA under above average temperatures.  With an active southern jet stream and split flow pattern over the Pacific Northwest, this looks to bring the storm track across the Southern USA, impacting California with above average precipitation.  Although this is not an El Nino year, this forecast is made by other means not disclosed.

The active southern branch of the jet will bring above average temperatures to most of the country, with the exception of the extreme Northeastern part from New England through Maine where temperatures will be below normal with an active snow track.

Areas across Texas and into Florida will be in this southern branch jet stream, which means that a number of strong surface lows will develop and bring above average precipitation to both states.  In fact, this pattern brings severe thunderstorms and tornadoes to Florida, and possibly another March 1993 type event.

Furthermore the storm track will go from Florida up through the New England / Northeastern USA.  Despite being above average in temperatures for the season, cold shots will always be likely and one or two storms may become strong nor’easters as this pattern favors such …

The pattern brings surface lows through KS/MO/IA for Blizzard Conditions across Nebraska, South Dakota, North Dakota, and Minnesota.  This will become the norm if lows branch off at the surface from the southern branch jet stream.

The pattern also favors normal temperatures for the Pacific Northwest, with normal rainfall … some areas will see below normal rainfall in those spots though.  This season does not favor an active storm season for the Pacific Northwest.

from:    http://www.theweatherspace.com/2013/10/14/2013-2014-winter-forecast-released-from-theweatherspace-com/